Warm-Inflammation 0x196892…632261
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.57K
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
39.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,396
lifetime
Volume
$23.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$801
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 06-05 05:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
37% 50% $-21
Crypto
34% 38% $-1,522
Other
17% 0% $-18
Sports
13% 50% $-5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -55 $-39 80¢ $-44 $-5 06-05 05:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-42 96¢ $-43 $-1 06-05 05:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -42 $-39 94¢ $-40 $-1 06-05 03:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -41 $-40 97¢ $-40 +$0 06-05 03:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -46 $-37 82¢ $-37 $-0 06-05 03:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -42 $-32 86¢ $-36 $-5 06-05 03:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -58 $-36 62¢ $-36 $-0 06-05 03:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -58 $-31 62¢ $-36 $-5 06-05 03:04
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -34 $-30 91¢ $-31 $-1 06-05 03:06
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No -30 $-28 97¢ $-29 $-1 06-05 05:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-24 78¢ $-27 $-3 06-05 03:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -43 $-25 63¢ $-27 $-3 06-05 03:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -37 $-24 70¢ $-26 $-2 06-05 03:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-23 73¢ $-24 $-1 06-05 03:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -52 $-20 46¢ $-24 $-3 06-05 05:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-24 86¢ $-23 +$0 06-05 05:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -26 $-23 90¢ $-23 +$0 06-05 03:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -24 $-20 88¢ $-21 $-1 06-05 03:04
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -30 $-16 69¢ $-21 $-4 06-05 03:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -21 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 05:14
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -21 $-20 96¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 03:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-21 80¢ $-20 +$1 06-05 03:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -21 $-20 94¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 03:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-19 92¢ $-19 $-0 06-05 05:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -21 $-18 94¢ $-19 $-1 06-05 05:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -61 $-18 32¢ $-19 $-2 06-05 05:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -21 $-19 90¢ $-19 $-0 06-05 05:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -30 $-17 64¢ $-19 $-1 06-05 05:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -26 $-19 72¢ $-19 +$1 06-05 03:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -34 $-18 55¢ $-19 $-1 06-05 05:15