Humiliating-Kangaroo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

28.4%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$46

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-08 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 50% +$0

Politics

38% — —

Sports

20% 50% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No		+47	$46	98¢	$46	$-0	06-04 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	17	$442	385	385	+0	No	$-0	04-25 08:00
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$333	169	169	+0	open	—	04-25 02:09
Will Alberta join the US?	11	$294	246	246	+0	open	—	06-05 12:03
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$269	141	141	+0	open	—	05-17 06:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$225	158	109	+49	open	—	05-29 21:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$224	357	357	+0	open	—	05-24 13:08
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	10	$220	196	196	+0	open	—	06-04 14:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$189	112	112	+0	open	—	05-09 18:14
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$183	94	94	+0	open	—	04-26 03:42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	9	$161	272	272	+0	open	—	04-25 19:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$158	85	85	+0	open	—	04-20 11:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$152	150	103	+47	open	—	06-04 22:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	5	$130	147	147	+0	open	—	06-07 05:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$130	177	177	+0	open	—	05-24 09:05
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$109	236	236	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 11:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	05-26 03:05
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$97	51	51	+0	open	—	04-26 09:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$93	95	95	+0	open	—	06-05 06:14
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$92	48	48	+0	open	—	06-03 19:12
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$90	47	47	+0	open	—	03-24 00:29
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	03-22 04:21
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$89	46	46	+0	open	—	03-24 19:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	04-25 13:41
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$85	245	245	+0	open	—	04-07 00:37
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	04-23 10:25
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	03-17 18:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	04-21 12:00
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$83	143	143	+0	open	—	04-04 15:20
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$83	43	42	+1	No	+$0	04-23 17:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	03-27 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:49:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	123	5¢	$6	0x8f5fb0…
06-08 15:28:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x17af59…
06-08 15:27:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0xe6c58b…
06-07 05:14:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0xba3df7…
06-07 03:52:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x6387fb…
06-07 03:52:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	39	79¢	$31	0x1fb6a7…
06-06 21:09:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	21¢	$19	0xc10fd4…
06-06 19:07:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x97e11a…
06-05 12:03:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0xbd3d6f…
06-05 10:52:25	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0x99aa78…
06-05 10:52:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x276f85…
06-05 06:14:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	95	49¢	$47	0xff93a9…
06-05 02:15:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x7f0ab1…
06-05 02:14:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x916e39…
06-05 02:14:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x10a8ee…
06-04 22:10:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xcb3bcc…
06-04 22:09:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x7f3768…
06-04 14:12:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0xc4d7fc…
06-04 14:12:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x76c302…
06-04 12:38:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x926df1…
06-03 19:12:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xee494d…
06-03 15:53:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x743368…
06-02 13:11:40	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xe9ac1f…
06-02 11:00:50	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xf0665f…
06-02 05:38:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0xccd6ec…
06-02 05:38:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc49390…
06-02 01:44:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	58	80¢	$46	0x7feac1…
06-01 19:39:48	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x29e0b8…
05-31 19:40:34	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xdc6223…
05-31 19:40:34	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xabafd5…
05-31 17:11:00	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x3ba3b0…
05-31 02:17:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x942d65…
05-31 01:00:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x8484c0…
05-30 18:23:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x1663fd…
05-30 16:34:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xd70e75…
05-30 16:34:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x1776a2…
05-30 06:03:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	22¢	$18	0x59fd06…
05-30 03:38:23	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0x79c6b5…
05-30 03:38:23	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6f0911…
05-30 03:38:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0x756c0b…
05-29 21:30:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x48853e…
05-29 18:12:29	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x780e2c…
05-29 18:12:29	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x1ff300…
05-29 14:23:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xd73e0d…
05-28 16:10:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xdc5d19…
05-28 14:48:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x32ea77…
05-26 04:42:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0x52a23e…
05-26 03:07:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$45	0xb84390…
05-26 03:05:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x6acca6…
05-26 00:54:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x0e18a8…
05-24 13:08:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	158	25¢	$40	0x35019f…
05-24 11:49:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	158	25¢	$40	0xb546e1…
05-24 09:05:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x704d5a…
05-24 06:39:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	16¢	$9	0x5eb926…
05-24 06:39:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0x4c725e…
05-24 05:18:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x90f5b7…
05-24 05:18:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$19	0x2eb733…
05-23 23:07:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x9f3ee6…
05-23 23:07:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x648576…
05-23 16:32:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	43¢	$27	0x921d19…
05-23 15:13:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x95d1f0…
05-23 13:11:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xd81b7a…
05-23 07:09:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x0e6f27…
05-20 18:12:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xed9610…
05-20 18:12:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	123	34¢	$42	0x3ba688…
05-20 15:34:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	33¢	$45	0x8380d5…
05-19 06:50:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0xad59fd…
05-19 00:32:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xd49ca2…
05-19 00:32:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x559b55…
05-18 16:29:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xf829e9…
05-18 12:00:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xfdf40c…
05-18 02:25:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe19431…
05-18 00:33:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4bc36b…
05-17 06:55:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xfe7a72…
05-17 05:19:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xb37a78…
05-17 05:19:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x43d4bb…
05-16 14:24:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x5d3fc2…
05-16 12:30:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xdb93da…
05-16 12:30:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x7edf2a…
05-16 12:30:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x33a1ba…
05-11 01:37:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x9a0a2a…
05-10 21:27:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x4dc6c3…
05-10 19:05:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x9ad0f2…
05-10 15:17:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xac591f…
05-10 15:17:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x762962…
05-09 18:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x8d9ca7…
05-09 15:07:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0xcc606d…
05-09 00:02:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0xc0d617…
05-09 00:01:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x761113…
04-26 09:43:04	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xb9d91b…
04-26 07:38:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xf1eb60…
04-26 03:42:34	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x525bb1…
04-26 01:17:44	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x1a49c3…
04-25 19:31:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x43f069…
04-25 15:42:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x2b031c…
04-25 13:41:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xead1d6…
04-25 13:41:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xd85741…
04-25 09:53:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xf13f08…
04-25 08:00:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$49	0xecd085…
04-25 07:59:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0xf8f6da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	49	$268.0K	21,779	06-10 00:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	48	$721.9K	11,468	06-09 21:50
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$89.2K	964	06-08 23:32
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	42	$97.3K	31,255	06-09 23:32
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	41	$7.79K	4,848	06-08 17:00
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	40	$7.28K	1,964	06-08 23:04
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	37	$3.54K	3,237	06-09 23:06
Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c	36	$751.8K	17,131	06-09 17:26