Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$550

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-04 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Politics

20% 100% +$178

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes		-150	$-4	3¢	$-4	$-0	07-02 23:20
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI		-5	$-1	15¢	$-1	+$1	06-24 23:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$200	101	100	+0	open	—	06-21 22:32
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-24 06:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$36	93	0	+93	Yes	+$57	03-02 01:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$33	153	0	+153	Yes	+$121	03-02 01:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$29	221	221	+0	open	—	06-22 00:30
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$24	600	600	+0	open	—	02-25 14:21
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	5	$21	5,097	0	+5,097	open	—	03-02 00:03
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	5	$17	94	46	+47	open	—	03-02 00:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 22:57
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$14	147	297	-150	open	—	07-02 23:20
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-22 23:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 01:15
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-24 23:36
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 02:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	02-06 06:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$4	17	0	+17	open	—	03-03 23:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 01:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:21
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-02 23:44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-02 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:22
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	06-24 23:43
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-02 23:25
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 23:34
critical discord incident by june 30	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-17 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 02:23:43	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x53efd5…
07-04 02:22:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9ed748…
07-04 02:21:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe2a5f3…
07-02 23:20:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	297	3¢	$9	0x0ab2e8…
06-24 23:43:50	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2a14e2…
06-24 23:36:37	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x53d9d1…
06-24 06:37:28	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xc54b14…
06-22 23:29:19	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xec4cfc…
06-22 00:30:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	221	6¢	$14	0x61c0c9…
06-21 22:32:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5b12f7…
06-17 02:28:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x690028…
06-17 02:16:58	critical discord incident by june 30	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4e7b46…
06-17 02:16:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc1836e…
06-17 02:13:07	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6a2a4f…
06-17 02:10:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x59f778…
06-16 23:04:59	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x7f1a4e…
06-16 22:59:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x91cc0d…
06-16 09:33:39	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x9e39cc…
06-16 09:30:37	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xebe133…
06-16 09:27:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x62b7c7…
06-16 09:21:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x4ad5f3…
04-21 01:45:44	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x01b9fe…
03-08 22:57:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0xbfa445…
03-06 01:15:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc684a…
03-03 23:47:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xd165ec…
03-03 01:48:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xed2051…
03-03 01:20:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcb30e8…
03-03 00:26:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8b2f7e…
03-03 00:26:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8cb661…
03-02 23:44:41	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf01680…
03-02 23:34:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf86416…
03-02 23:25:31	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7a9734…
03-02 23:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa0b077…
03-02 23:13:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe0eb8b…
03-02 23:11:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebb951…
03-02 01:17:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xce9372…
03-02 01:17:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x44ea7c…
03-02 00:57:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x9e33cc…
03-02 00:03:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xc25b03…
03-01 02:07:49	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	644	0¢	$2	0x2e8f69…
03-01 02:05:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd767ad…
03-01 02:04:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2fba28…
02-28 07:54:27	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	1,348	0¢	$4	0x4c008d…
02-28 07:51:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x312c74…
02-28 07:49:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xebcb2f…
02-26 19:34:32	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$7	0x2a2eb5…
02-25 14:21:56	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0xaa4dd9…
02-25 00:37:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1c0b68…
02-25 00:37:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x836e19…
02-24 01:11:28	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x4fd792…
02-22 06:57:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x784d6a…
02-22 06:56:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc77959…
02-17 08:20:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x83e0ce…
02-16 10:36:33	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	705	0¢	$4	0xa617a6…
02-16 10:35:43	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x635495…
02-16 00:54:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa1ef5f…
02-16 00:52:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xe4f685…
02-16 00:18:57	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x0db735…
02-15 08:21:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x59dc0b…
02-15 03:04:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x7d14d4…
02-14 08:02:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4af560…
02-14 06:04:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x412b5e…
02-14 02:48:29	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x04d5e1…
02-14 02:47:41	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x3b5f7c…
02-06 06:49:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbcfb44…