Ideal-Anger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-09 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

32% 50% +$0

Sports

13% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$231	119	119	+0	open	—	04-13 12:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$216	110	110	+0	open	—	04-16 10:55
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$169	136	212	-76	No	+$9	04-27 01:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$165	86	86	+0	open	—	04-26 18:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	11	$164	190	190	+0	open	—	05-23 00:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$153	81	81	+0	open	—	04-20 22:39
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$140	72	72	+0	open	—	06-07 09:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	8	$137	131	131	+0	open	—	06-06 06:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	8	$130	137	137	+0	open	—	06-09 15:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$126	80	80	+0	open	—	05-25 16:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	6	$124	139	139	+0	open	—	06-03 06:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$106	151	151	+0	open	—	06-05 16:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$106	95	95	+0	open	—	06-09 22:44
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$87	190	190	+0	No	$-0	04-10 03:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	05-19 13:26
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$78	55	55	+0	open	—	06-09 04:33
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	04-04 17:52
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	04-05 22:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	03-30 12:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	05-31 04:34
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	05-28 21:24
Will Alberta join the US?	3	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	06-02 13:55
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$68	36	36	+0	open	—	04-16 04:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 01:18
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	05-30 13:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$62	42	42	+0	open	—	05-24 06:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	04-15 11:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$33	70	36	+34	open	—	05-26 15:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$12	159	159	+0	open	—	05-17 15:24
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$8	76	76	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:44:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	58	62¢	$36	0x796b9c…
06-09 17:48:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0xfa5ab5…
06-09 17:48:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x03e00f…
06-09 15:46:10	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	67¢	$26	0xf4a72f…
06-09 15:46:10	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf3ea3e…
06-09 14:12:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	68¢	$39	0xf491bd…
06-09 04:33:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0xfa0602…
06-09 03:30:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0x177bf6…
06-08 20:24:48	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	47	33¢	$16	0xcc972d…
06-08 20:24:48	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0xbca7b8…
06-08 15:58:31	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xcaaa38…
06-08 15:58:31	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x910329…
06-08 15:58:31	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x65b700…
06-07 09:59:46	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x37b8f3…
06-07 07:42:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x05f6be…
06-06 06:40:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0x3c9cd4…
06-06 06:40:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x5de3dc…
06-06 06:39:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xdc02b4…
06-05 22:29:39	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xc2e572…
06-05 21:04:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xeb396e…
06-05 21:04:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa34b01…
06-05 16:55:04	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$8	0x4c8309…
06-05 14:36:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x4702d9…
06-04 23:14:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xdc78d1…
06-04 23:14:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x31398a…
06-04 19:00:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0xb0356d…
06-03 06:23:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	39¢	$30	0x9ff4f2…
06-02 16:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x99ff89…
06-02 16:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x68f46c…
06-02 16:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x61e79f…
06-02 13:55:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xa1a926…
06-02 13:55:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3f9fa7…
06-02 09:25:36	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xc13eca…
06-02 01:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0xce0d46…
06-02 01:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x2e10bf…
06-02 00:26:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	19¢	$13	0x311635…
06-01 19:50:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x30895b…
06-01 17:29:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0xe8fd5b…
06-01 01:18:53	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x628e13…
06-01 01:18:53	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5daa46…
05-31 22:43:16	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf4080f…
05-31 22:43:16	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xeab9ed…
05-31 15:29:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	57¢	$30	0x7a6909…
05-31 15:29:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x5e5582…
05-31 04:34:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0xc80670…
05-31 02:12:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0xa20c69…
05-30 13:01:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xcf21b2…
05-30 13:01:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5df704…
05-30 11:04:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xed4c43…
05-30 05:59:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	51¢	$32	0x1c7363…
05-30 04:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	51¢	$32	0x95b8c7…
05-29 17:31:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$21	0x7e0206…
05-29 17:31:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x2f191d…
05-29 13:39:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x7c5e35…
05-28 21:24:30	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x99af0f…
05-28 20:01:42	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa2515b…
05-28 01:43:13	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x5070a0…
05-27 21:49:38	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x30d9b9…
05-26 15:26:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xe1c86a…
05-26 15:26:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x13faf9…
05-26 10:51:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x9d7b07…
05-26 09:05:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	29¢	$10	0x51deec…
05-25 16:54:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x80d8e0…
05-25 15:34:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9dbe2b…
05-25 15:34:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x325239…
05-24 06:56:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xecb632…
05-24 06:55:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xd9f8a9…
05-24 06:55:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	35	76¢	$26	0x7fd789…
05-24 04:54:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	42	73¢	$30	0x9eb47b…
05-23 18:41:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x4fccb1…
05-23 14:37:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x91d479…
05-23 00:34:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xba2d72…
05-22 01:36:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x327a27…
05-22 00:35:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1d8dfb…
05-21 20:59:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xea24e7…
05-20 06:47:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x92caff…
05-20 04:10:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xa28feb…
05-19 13:26:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xff8f20…
05-19 13:26:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0xa32f6e…
05-19 13:25:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xa11d40…
05-19 04:18:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x2e4ea3…
05-19 02:53:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0xeab8ca…
05-17 23:32:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0xc112fb…
05-17 22:20:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd0bdc0…
05-17 22:20:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8118be…
05-17 15:24:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	159	4¢	$6	0x9e1512…
05-17 11:23:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	159	4¢	$6	0xbdad97…
05-14 17:42:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x0c85ac…
05-14 17:41:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa7df61…
05-14 15:38:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xff1aad…
04-27 01:21:56	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	76	11¢	$9	0x083dc4…
04-26 18:54:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xcac1c1…
04-26 16:45:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x265655…
04-25 10:16:02	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x559fce…
04-25 07:45:06	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xe78248…
04-25 07:45:06	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc809e5…
04-25 07:45:06	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x7db5d9…
04-24 16:33:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xfdb706…
04-24 15:19:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x1a2d54…
04-24 11:13:50	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0xd10cd7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	36	$472.4K	7,042	06-10 03:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	34	$208.5K	16,625	06-10 00:59
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	32	$77.3K	23,974	06-10 01:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	32	$75.0K	682	06-08 20:34
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	30	$2.66K	2,298	06-10 03:12
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	28	$1.28M	19,933	06-10 04:32
Bony-Dashboard 0xf17b…572e	28	$2.26K	124	06-09 11:50
Babyish-Thesis 0x7fa4…30eb	28	$1.91K	118	06-09 02:04