Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
300
Trades
541
lifetime
Volume
$1.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$23
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 08-21 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 47% +$8
Politics
28% 54% -$13
Other
28% 48% -$7
Sports
2% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -17 -$11 94¢ $-16 -$5 06-12 10:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 -$3 16¢ $-3 $0 06-22 11:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +62 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 05-14 16:30
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes -26 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 07-22 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -28 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 07-19 06:23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -7 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 06-22 12:11
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -21 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-06 14:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 05:09