Realized P&L
+$24
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
501
lifetime
Volume
$1.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$30
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-22 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 33% $-3
Politics
30% 100% +$24
Other
24% 100% +$2
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-11 86¢ $-15 $-3 06-12 10:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -8 $-7 70¢ $-6 +$1 06-12 10:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-3 24¢ $-4 $-2 06-22 11:24
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes -26 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-22 11:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -28 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-19 06:23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -7 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-22 12:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-24 05:09