Realized P&L
-$241
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
2,052
Trades
3,526
lifetime
Volume
$7.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$9
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 06-21 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 37% -$258
Other
18% 26% +$107
Sports
4% 32% -$40
Politics
2% 12% -$43
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 05-22 20:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 05-23 20:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 05-10 17:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -75 -$4 1¢ $-0 +$4 05-10 11:43
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-23 01:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-29 20:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-23 21:30
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +18 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-23 08:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-15 10:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-11 02:26