Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
494
lifetime
Volume
$2.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$32
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-30 18:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
26%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-12 16:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 81¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 84¢ $1 $-1 06-29 22:04
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 06-29 18:38
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +3 $1 37¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-29 18:38
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 58¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 86¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-12 16:33
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-12 16:31
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-05 15:56