Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
499
lifetime
Volume
$2.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$12
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-15 13:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
26%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-1 07-05 09:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 80¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +2 $1 75¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-29 18:38
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2 $1 59¢ $1 +$0 07-15 13:34
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 06-29 18:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 66¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-12 16:33