Novel-Mouse 0x278248…e3a28a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
213
lifetime
Volume
$1.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$52
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-09 18:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73% — —
Politics
26% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +18 $17 98¢ $17 $-0 06-10 00:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-04 03:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-09 13:43
New pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-07 11:52
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-04 14:26
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-07 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-07 11:52
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +2 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-04 03:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 68¢ $1 $-1 06-09 00:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:34
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:39
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-07 11:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-08 22:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:39
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-04 14:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $1 73¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-06 16:01
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-04 03:36
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-09 00:44