Realized P&L (7d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
4
479 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$51
$5.92K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$519
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-29 10:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% +$24
Politics
37% 80% -$20
Tech
3% 100% +$12
Crypto
2% 66% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-22 07:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +80 $79 100¢ $80 +$1 10-11 12:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 +$0 08-13 19:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$1 07-20 21:28
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 +$1 09-21 14:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +37 $30 97¢ $36 +$6 09-28 07:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $32 83¢ $33 +$1 10-21 07:26
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +26 $20 84¢ $22 +$2 10-13 07:16
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$0 10-27 14:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 10-27 13:19
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-20 13:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +20 $17 81¢ $16 $0 09-12 21:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 28 Yes +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-15 07:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-11 09:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-14 10:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 $0 08-18 03:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $8 72¢ $7 -$1 10-16 11:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$0 10-16 10:15
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +20 $5 28¢ $6 +$1 10-29 10:37
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +20 $5 16¢ $3 -$1 09-30 06:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 16¢ $2 -$9 09-23 06:36