Realized P&L (90d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
50
485 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$766
$5.97K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$362
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 11-04 20:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% +$25
Politics
37% 79% -$22
Tech
3% 100% +$12
Crypto
2% 66% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $93 98¢ $98 +$4 10-22 07:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $32 100¢ $40 +$8 10-21 07:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$1 08-13 19:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$1 07-20 21:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +37 $30 97¢ $36 +$6 09-28 07:14
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +26 $20 92¢ $24 +$5 10-13 07:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-27 13:19
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-20 13:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$2 09-12 21:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-11 09:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 08-18 03:08
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +20 $5 22¢ $4 $0 10-29 10:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 52¢ $3 -$2 11-03 07:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +20 $5 11¢ $2 -$2 09-30 06:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 12¢ $2 -$10 09-23 06:36
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 11-04 20:32