Hearty-Point — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$201

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$250

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-08 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$3

Other

38% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-9

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		+250	$49	100¢	$250	+$201	06-02 05:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	04-15 16:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$1.8K	938	938	+0	open	—	04-15 00:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$769	730	730	+0	open	—	06-01 01:20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	7	$763	991	991	+0	open	—	06-08 11:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$427	515	342	+173	open	—	05-31 10:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	8	$425	520	520	+0	open	—	05-30 14:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	7	$420	599	599	+0	open	—	04-23 04:13
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$376	332	332	+0	Yes	+$3	04-24 22:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	3	$374	346	346	+0	open	—	05-29 20:19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$371	226	226	+0	open	—	04-23 03:43
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$369	193	193	+0	open	—	06-03 06:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	6	$364	326	326	+0	open	—	06-01 07:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$363	203	203	+0	open	—	05-26 23:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$341	176	176	+0	open	—	06-01 21:30
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$314	398	398	+0	open	—	05-26 10:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$309	159	159	+0	open	—	05-23 20:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$308	311	311	+0	open	—	05-30 19:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$278	663	663	+0	open	—	06-03 22:08
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$242	1,028	1,028	+0	No	$-1	04-16 22:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$224	289	289	+0	open	—	06-04 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$201	579	329	+250	open	—	06-02 05:29
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$160	163	163	+0	open	—	04-26 23:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$80	349	349	+0	open	—	04-25 09:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$72	2,103	2,103	+0	No	$-8	04-15 19:16
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$4	138	138	+0	open	—	06-03 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:16:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x96294d…
06-04 21:10:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	604	2¢	$13	0xefce5f…
06-04 21:08:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	612	2¢	$12	0xcf638c…
06-04 14:17:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x5656ff…
06-04 12:23:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	33¢	$37	0xfc71d6…
06-04 01:13:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	189	98¢	$185	0x377c28…
06-04 01:12:49	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0xa8c4fb…
06-03 22:08:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	663	21¢	$139	0xd8ecca…
06-03 18:07:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	21¢	$18	0xe65671…
06-03 18:07:00	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	579	21¢	$122	0x5e1547…
06-03 13:01:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$2	0x2e26ef…
06-03 10:11:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xf860f6…
06-03 10:11:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x6fff3b…
06-03 06:13:30	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	193	96¢	$184	0x847830…
06-03 05:06:44	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	193	96¢	$184	0x142a9e…
06-02 05:29:47	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$51	0x5568b9…
06-01 21:30:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0xf76a18…
06-01 21:30:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x37208b…
06-01 20:17:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$171	0x184f59…
06-01 07:58:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xd08a02…
06-01 01:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	117	48¢	$56	0x220386…
06-01 01:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	271	48¢	$130	0x08d4fe…
06-01 01:19:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	388	48¢	$186	0x3faa10…
05-31 18:37:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	23¢	$36	0x2c2e77…
05-31 18:37:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	175	23¢	$40	0x055e36…
05-31 17:30:17	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	149	22¢	$33	0xcf9e4e…
05-31 17:30:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	180	22¢	$40	0xe1e696…
05-31 10:23:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0x063b73…
05-31 07:57:50	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0xc01de0…
05-31 06:33:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	190	97¢	$184	0x2b9862…
05-30 19:11:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0xf2efa4…
05-30 19:11:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	243	50¢	$122	0x99ac6d…
05-30 17:14:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	234	49¢	$115	0xe91128…
05-30 17:14:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0x55f330…
05-30 14:50:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	31¢	$34	0xe00d28…
05-30 14:50:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	31¢	$39	0xf42a0e…
05-30 12:58:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	234	31¢	$73	0xdcea60…
05-30 03:50:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	177	40¢	$71	0x73de6e…
05-30 01:39:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	46¢	$64	0x8d83a0…
05-30 01:39:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x1cc504…
05-29 22:58:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	158	31¢	$49	0x0237bd…
05-29 21:15:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	158	31¢	$49	0x11bb2a…
05-29 20:19:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb8128f…
05-29 20:19:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	338	53¢	$179	0x116a7a…
05-29 15:37:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	55¢	$190	0x7f78a4…
05-29 07:29:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	342	58¢	$198	0x4d0f30…
05-29 07:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	342	58¢	$198	0xbbbc76…
05-28 14:59:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	74	71¢	$53	0x88a620…
05-28 14:59:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	54	71¢	$38	0x07f05d…
05-28 12:25:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	128	71¢	$91	0xad12ca…
05-28 09:34:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	137	56¢	$77	0x59905f…
05-28 09:34:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc38de2…
05-28 09:34:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	56¢	$101	0x1706ad…
05-28 07:15:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	322	56¢	$180	0xde6b6a…
05-27 23:20:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf9c883…
05-26 23:02:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x5250bb…
05-26 23:02:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	187	90¢	$168	0x092066…
05-26 19:58:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203	89¢	$181	0x390b61…
05-26 10:11:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xebec74…
05-26 10:10:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	185	3¢	$5	0x213c56…
05-26 10:10:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x04467c…
05-26 06:10:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	233	3¢	$8	0xc5496e…
05-24 04:51:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	41¢	$50	0x7bbbc2…
05-24 04:51:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	196	41¢	$80	0x33a35b…
05-24 04:51:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x0d6db2…
05-24 03:25:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	342	35¢	$120	0x8afbdd…
05-23 20:31:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	159	97¢	$155	0xf3ac27…
05-23 14:43:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0xe0469b…
05-21 13:53:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	165	92¢	$151	0x04239b…
05-21 09:00:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	165	90¢	$149	0x2dcaa7…
04-26 23:45:04	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x7e6afd…
04-26 23:44:24	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x96130c…
04-26 21:46:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0x70b6bb…
04-25 09:47:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	10¢	$34	0xba19ce…
04-25 00:35:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	13¢	$46	0x3f2afb…
04-24 22:37:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	332	57¢	$189	0x35d05b…
04-24 20:06:24	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	332	56¢	$187	0x9f2310…
04-24 03:15:52	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	107	48¢	$51	0x586fb5…
04-24 01:38:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	107	48¢	$51	0x2852a1…
04-23 04:13:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	10¢	$8	0xe71116…
04-23 04:13:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	10¢	$12	0x7d5082…
04-23 04:13:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	10¢	$12	0x702ec2…
04-23 04:13:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	10¢	$11	0x31dd0e…
04-23 04:12:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	10¢	$42	0xca4452…
04-23 03:43:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	112	82¢	$92	0xd819b7…
04-23 03:43:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	114	82¢	$94	0x822cae…
04-22 23:04:24	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	226	82¢	$185	0x8e09fa…
04-22 12:19:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	190	89¢	$168	0x579f77…
04-22 08:37:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	88¢	$168	0xa2365d…
04-16 22:15:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1,028	12¢	$120	0xd06f37…
04-16 20:24:26	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xedf467…
04-16 20:24:26	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,026	12¢	$121	0x2dfecc…
04-15 19:16:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,103	2¢	$32	0xd7ca14…
04-15 16:57:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,103	2¢	$40	0x89df08…
04-15 16:54:48	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	1,008	99¢	$995	0xf92bd5…
04-15 15:11:56	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$995	0x04fe2c…
04-15 00:15:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	938	96¢	$905	0xe2c390…
04-14 22:04:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	938	97¢	$907	0x533e3e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	25	$329.0K	5,398	06-10 03:15
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	25	$153.2K	12,039	06-10 00:59
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	22	$873.4K	14,372	06-10 03:12
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	22	$14.2K	513	06-09 08:04
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	21	$234.4K	2,771	06-10 02:41
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	20	$50.8K	14,847	06-10 03:15
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	20	$50.1K	805	06-09 09:34
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$4.55M	9,553	06-10 03:03