Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
128
Trades
1,031
lifetime
Volume
$3.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-29 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
42% 47% +$17
Other
28% 51% $-43
Politics
17%
Crypto
10%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -12 $-7 57¢ $-7 $-0 07-01 03:24
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 100¢ $-7 $-3 06-05 08:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:25
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -11 $-5 39¢ $-4 +$0 07-01 03:24
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-29 16:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-4 34¢ $-3 +$1 07-01 03:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-16 11:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 18:47
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-27 16:11
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 05-29 22:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 15:51
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-05 02:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 06-29 16:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +36 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 16:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-09 23:08