Rural-Delight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

167

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$136

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-18 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

70% 73% +$47

Other

30% 82% +$68

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+110	$100	98¢	$107	+$7	05-11 14:15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	-24	-$20	94¢	$-22	-$2	05-07 11:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-31	-$8	16¢	$-5	+$3	05-17 14:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-123	-$8	2¢	$-2	+$6	06-09 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	3	$283	143	143	+0	No	+$3	06-06 16:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$146	98	98	+0	Yes	+$6	03-11 10:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$143	79	79	+0	No	+$3	03-10 00:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	05-11 14:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-07 23:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$98	69	93	-24	No	-$7	04-18 19:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$83	138	138	+0	No	+$3	06-04 18:36
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$71	76	0	+76	No	+$5	03-03 11:18
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	1	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$1	05-17 17:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$70	80	0	+80	No	+$10	03-15 19:56
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	2	$70	82	0	+82	No	+$12	03-03 16:55
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$56	35	35	+0	No	+$4	03-25 11:39
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	2	$55	39	39	+0	Yes	+$15	04-07 23:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$48	54	69	-15	No	+$9	03-14 17:29
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$44	79	0	+79	No	+$35	03-06 15:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	05-11 08:29
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$42	32	32	+0	No	+$2	03-04 14:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$42	57	57	+0	No	+$2	03-30 01:26
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	2	$42	26	26	+0	No	+$2	03-04 15:07
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-05 14:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	05-31 20:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$40	44	44	+0	open	—	06-01 08:40
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	2	$24	33	0	+33	No	+$8	05-15 16:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	1	$20	0	24	-24	open	—	05-07 11:56
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-20 01:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	15	47	-31	open	—	05-17 14:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$8	0	123	-123	open	—	06-09 15:25
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$4	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-07 10:07
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	-$2	06-09 15:24
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$0	06-01 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 17:57:26	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaee800…
06-18 17:57:01	Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x61f937…
06-18 17:56:14	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6cd8c…
06-18 17:55:20	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74261a…
06-18 17:54:47	Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb5114d…
06-18 17:54:10	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x872a23…
06-18 17:53:34	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb7e29a…
06-18 17:53:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x343bff…
06-18 17:52:29	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9a14d…
06-18 17:51:55	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfaba2e…
06-18 17:51:29	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb6f40…
06-18 17:51:02	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x99a312…
06-18 17:50:23	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4e8202…
06-18 17:49:55	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x846c20…
06-18 17:49:26	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x70cdb5…
06-18 17:48:58	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x337189…
06-18 17:48:22	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa51fd4…
06-18 17:47:44	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x166370…
06-18 17:47:14	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd72a5…
06-18 17:46:28	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x909734…
06-18 17:45:02	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x537dc1…
06-18 17:43:56	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7c71f…
06-18 17:42:59	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf88de5…
06-10 16:04:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfd2a52…
06-09 15:25:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	6¢	$8	0x7ec017…
06-09 15:24:03	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x67ec6b…
06-06 16:01:24	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x73d8e9…
06-04 18:36:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	31¢	$43	0x4dfa07…
06-01 23:45:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa00ecc…
06-01 23:43:29	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe16199…
06-01 23:42:53	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xce0087…
06-01 08:40:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xf4270b…
06-01 08:40:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0xc4177d…
05-31 20:33:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xa241f9…
05-17 18:28:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x81ecfc…
05-17 17:28:56	Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xca37d9…
05-17 14:16:07	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xba9ca0…
05-15 16:57:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe9f8ae…
05-15 16:25:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x57d2f0…
05-13 18:36:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0fa77a…
05-13 15:00:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x5a2561…
05-13 14:23:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xc97679…
05-11 22:31:10	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf14e08…
05-11 14:15:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xf37687…
05-11 13:06:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x2d115f…
05-11 08:29:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd0d532…
05-11 08:20:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x99cc18…
05-10 17:36:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xeaabb0…
05-09 12:04:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x079cde…
05-07 17:14:45	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x82db27…
05-07 11:56:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$20	0xc40b8e…
05-06 20:59:56	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x16abe2…
05-03 11:36:44	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x7b1ffd…
04-18 19:07:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	93	62¢	$57	0xbcc40c…
04-18 11:00:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4192d5…
04-14 20:22:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3a58e7…
04-14 19:50:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf0ed5e…
04-13 14:58:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xee4186…
04-10 20:01:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf8627b…
04-07 23:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x3aa95e…
04-07 23:06:35	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0xc9efba…
04-02 01:28:55	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1912b7…
03-30 01:26:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	57	39¢	$22	0x0468bb…
03-29 20:32:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xec4b31…
03-25 11:39:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xfc8001…
03-20 01:02:55	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7d7f9d…
03-19 14:16:07	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x9b0c36…
03-15 19:56:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x674c52…
03-15 08:24:39	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x752688…
03-14 17:29:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0xe8dd0d…
03-13 18:32:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xc03005…
03-13 18:24:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd7145f…
03-11 10:45:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	98	77¢	$76	0xe328d8…
03-10 22:46:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x359183…
03-10 13:22:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xbf7ed3…
03-10 00:05:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	79	93¢	$73	0x514dcd…
03-09 16:31:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3e1739…
03-07 22:48:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xde1ab0…
03-07 10:07:49	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x94f329…
03-06 15:33:41	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	79	56¢	$44	0xc77ee5…
03-05 14:15:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x206ff7…
03-04 16:02:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x869458…
03-04 15:32:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x68eaf4…
03-04 15:07:21	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0xa7d5bd…
03-04 14:22:51	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	32	71¢	$22	0xea2719…
03-03 16:55:17	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	No	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x16fa4a…
03-03 16:55:01	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xb609f6…
03-03 13:53:59	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc273f3…
03-03 13:03:13	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x600391…
03-03 11:30:33	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x76d132…
03-03 11:18:11	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xaf0307…
03-03 05:07:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xfac12b…
02-18 17:33:08	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x902ed6…
02-18 17:30:58	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29b008…
02-18 17:22:40	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34e977…
02-18 17:21:36	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf46663…
02-18 17:18:24	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd74c7d…
02-18 17:16:24	netanyahu arrested by march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc62e02…
02-18 17:15:02	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb7298…
02-18 17:13:36	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa10ee0…