(anonymous) 0x3be56d…31f7fe Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved (90d)
538
Trades (90d)
4,202
4,539 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$10.6K
$11.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$475
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-03 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
56% 44% -$5
Other
35% 49% -$38
Crypto
5% 47% +$8
Tech
4% 50% -$6
Sports
1% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +74 $57 78¢ $57 +$1 10-29 17:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $56 82¢ $57 +$2 10-24 22:49
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +67 $52 78¢ $52 +$0 10-29 17:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 10-29 17:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +28 $26 98¢ $27 +$1 10-29 22:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $29 82¢ $25 -$4 11-01 08:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $21 94¢ $21 $0 11-02 19:18
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +21 $20 92¢ $19 $0 10-29 17:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +14 $4 94¢ $14 +$10 07-30 23:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $15 18¢ $13 -$2 10-29 01:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -13 -$13 96¢ $-13 +$0 10-18 08:58
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +18 $11 70¢ $12 +$1 10-31 20:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-31 20:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$0 10-31 18:16
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:24
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-29 22:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 85¢ $10 +$1 10-29 23:58
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 11-02 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 84¢ $8 +$0 09-04 13:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +10 $7 75¢ $8 +$1 10-29 17:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +7 $1 87¢ $6 +$6 11-03 03:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +27 $8 22¢ $6 -$2 10-29 17:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $7 60¢ $6 -$1 10-29 17:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +23 $5 26¢ $6 +$1 10-29 17:48
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 08-19 14:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +14 $4 36¢ $5 +$1 11-03 07:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 22:57
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 00:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-29 23:54