(anonymous) 0x3be56d…31f7fe Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (30d)
149
Trades (30d)
1,095
4,644 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.84K
$11.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$468
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-04 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Politics
56% 49% +$18
Other
34% 49% -$40
Crypto
5% 47% +$8
Tech
4% 50% -$6
Sports
1% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $56 85¢ $60 +$4 10-24 22:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +74 $57 78¢ $58 +$1 10-29 17:29
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +67 $52 78¢ $52 +$0 10-29 17:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +42 $38 88¢ $37 -$1 11-04 01:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$1 10-29 17:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +28 $26 97¢ $27 +$1 10-29 22:33
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +21 $20 92¢ $19 $0 10-29 17:39
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +23 $15 70¢ $16 +$1 11-04 16:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +14 $4 94¢ $14 +$10 07-30 23:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -13 -$13 96¢ $-13 +$0 10-18 08:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$0 10-31 18:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $15 15¢ $11 -$5 10-29 01:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 89¢ $10 +$2 10-29 23:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:24
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-29 22:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 11-02 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 09-04 13:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 10-29 17:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $6 42¢ $7 +$0 11-04 08:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +27 $8 22¢ $6 -$2 10-29 17:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-04 07:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 -$1 100¢ $5 +$6 11-04 07:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 22:57
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:17
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 10-02 01:22
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 00:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 23:44
russia coup attempt in 2026 No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-18 00:41