(anonymous) 0x3be56d…31f7fe
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
417
4,457 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.45K
$11.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$479
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 10-31 15:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
55% 47% +$9
Other
35% 51% -$36
Crypto
5% 47% +$8
Tech
4% 45% -$7
Sports
1% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $56 82¢ $57 +$2 10-24 22:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +74 $57 78¢ $57 +$0 10-29 17:29
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +56 $56 100¢ $56 +$1 10-30 06:59
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +67 $52 78¢ $53 +$1 10-29 17:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 10-29 17:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +28 $26 96¢ $27 +$0 10-29 22:33
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +21 $20 90¢ $19 $0 10-29 17:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +14 $4 94¢ $14 +$10 07-30 23:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $15 18¢ $13 -$2 10-29 01:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -13 -$13 94¢ $-13 +$1 10-18 08:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:24
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-29 22:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 84¢ $10 +$1 10-29 23:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $13 84¢ $10 -$3 10-30 07:48
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +12 $7 72¢ $9 +$2 10-30 05:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 09-04 13:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$1 10-29 17:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 10-30 14:48
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +7 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-30 19:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +27 $8 24¢ $6 -$1 10-29 17:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +23 $5 28¢ $6 +$2 10-29 17:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $6 42¢ $6 +$0 10-30 10:50
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 08-19 14:25
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +10 $7 51¢ $5 -$2 10-29 17:38
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-19 15:49
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-30 00:06
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-29 23:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +18 $6 28¢ $5 -$2 10-31 15:22