(anonymous) 0x3be56d…31f7fe Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
617
Trades
4,787
lifetime
Volume
$12.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$568
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-07 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
57% 49% +$25
Other
34% 49% -$38
Crypto
4% 47% +$8
Tech
4% 50% -$6
Sports
1% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +78 $70 90¢ $70 -$1 11-06 10:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $56 82¢ $57 +$2 10-24 22:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +74 $57 78¢ $57 +$0 10-29 17:29
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +67 $52 78¢ $53 +$1 10-29 17:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +61 $48 83¢ $50 +$2 11-06 06:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 10-29 17:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +28 $26 97¢ $27 +$1 10-29 22:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +124 $24 17¢ $22 -$2 11-07 05:07
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +21 $20 92¢ $19 $0 10-29 17:39
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +23 $15 70¢ $16 +$1 11-04 16:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +14 $4 95¢ $14 +$10 07-30 23:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -13 -$13 97¢ $-13 +$0 10-18 08:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $15 18¢ $13 -$2 10-29 01:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$0 10-31 18:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 91¢ $10 +$2 10-29 23:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:24
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-29 22:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-02 01:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +10 $7 88¢ $9 +$2 10-29 17:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 09-04 13:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 $0 10-29 17:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +27 $8 24¢ $7 -$1 10-29 17:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$0 11-06 08:17
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 08-19 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 09-09 01:15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$0 08-29 13:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 09-04 20:29
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-06 01:34