(anonymous) 0x3be56d…31f7fe Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
604
Trades
4,690
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$496
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-05 07:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
56% 49% +$20
Other
34% 49% -$39
Crypto
4% 47% +$8
Tech
4% 50% -$6
Sports
1% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +72 $65 88¢ $63 -$2 11-05 03:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +70 $56 83¢ $59 +$3 10-24 22:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +74 $57 80¢ $58 +$2 10-29 17:29
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +67 $52 78¢ $53 +$1 10-29 17:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 10-29 17:31
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +28 $26 97¢ $27 +$1 10-29 22:33
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +21 $20 92¢ $19 $0 10-29 17:39
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +23 $15 70¢ $16 +$1 11-04 16:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +14 $4 94¢ $14 +$10 07-30 23:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -13 -$13 97¢ $-13 +$0 10-18 08:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $15 17¢ $12 -$4 10-29 01:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$0 10-31 18:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$2 10-29 23:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:24
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-29 22:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-02 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 88¢ $8 +$1 09-04 13:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 10-29 17:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $7 73¢ $7 +$1 10-29 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +27 $8 22¢ $6 -$2 10-29 17:17
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +6 $6 97¢ $6 $0 08-19 14:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-04 07:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 -$1 100¢ $5 +$6 11-04 07:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +23 $5 22¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:48
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 22:57
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 00:05
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 23:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 00:23
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-27 02:37