Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$640

Unrealized P&L

-$121

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

498

Trades

1,689

lifetime

Volume

$8.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

22 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-06 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 53% -$325

Other

38% 26% -$239

Politics

14% 8% -$65

Sports

3% 18% -$11

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+33	$5	20¢	$6	+$2	08-27 03:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	+6	$1	16¢	$1	-$1	10-10 09:27
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$3	12¢	$0	-$2	05-25 07:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	08-24 03:17
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	08-24 10:48
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$10	92¢	$0	-$10	05-30 08:13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	-$1	34¢	$0	+$1	09-14 03:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	83¢	$0	$0	09-02 12:13
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	08-24 03:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	89¢	$0	$0	08-24 02:20
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	06-10 09:02
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	94¢	$0	-$1	05-27 03:11
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	08-20 03:55
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+0	$0	80¢	$0	$0	08-21 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	08-24 09:02
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$2	88¢	$0	-$2	06-10 09:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	66¢	$0	$0	07-31 09:09
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$83	8¢	$0	-$83	07-03 07:12
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	+0	$1	23¢	$0	-$1	06-01 08:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+0	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	06-03 08:30
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$5	6¢	$0	-$5	05-30 12:22
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	+0	$17	2¢	$0	-$17	07-03 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	82	$466	635	635	+0	open	—	07-03 07:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	201	$342	8,085	8,085	+0	No	-$52	08-06 03:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	33	$316	292	292	+0	open	—	08-24 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	29	$282	346	346	+0	open	—	08-24 10:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	35	$202	222	222	+0	open	—	09-14 03:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	23	$182	96	96	+0	open	—	08-24 03:17
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	25	$178	111	98	+14	Yes	+$13	08-19 14:07
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	24	$125	160	160	+0	open	—	05-30 12:22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	18	$124	77	71	+6	Yes	+$0	08-21 03:37
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	23	$120	936	936	+0	open	—	07-03 07:12
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	16	$102	452	179	+273	No	-$18	08-24 00:08
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	16	$94	728	718	+10	Yes	-$5	08-27 07:48
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	17	$94	228	228	+0	open	—	08-24 03:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$89	94	78	+16	No	-$11	08-20 03:56
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	16	$86	249	249	+0	open	—	05-30 14:23
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	18	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	06-01 08:15
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	22	$81	757	680	+77	No	-$30	06-25 12:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	16	$80	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 12:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	09-02 12:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	9	$69	69	69	+0	Up	-$1	05-27 09:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$60	296	269	+27	No	-$4	05-28 08:45
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	08-24 09:02
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	12	$59	35	35	+0	Australia	-$1	07-02 11:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	11	$59	89	89	+0	open	—	06-03 08:30
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-08?	4	$59	64	64	+0	Yes	-$51	07-03 04:15
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29?	11	$57	262	251	+11	No	-$5	05-29 09:10
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	7	$56	69	69	+0	No	+$6	05-29 03:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	10	$51	86	86	+0	No	-$1	05-29 09:16
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?	7	$49	59	59	+0	Yes	-$1	05-24 02:38
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	9	$49	59	26	+33	open	—	08-27 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:24:48	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x80c215…
11-06 09:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x60bbf5…
11-06 09:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0c7fd2…
11-06 09:12:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd84a2a…
11-06 08:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa9f56f…
11-05 09:58:15	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4c0d68…
11-05 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xfa98f1…
11-05 07:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x55f68f…
11-05 07:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x22f44b…
11-05 04:27:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xba1441…
11-05 04:18:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb8f388…
11-05 04:17:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc869df…
11-05 04:15:06	Will Notts County FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x3ca467…
11-05 04:07:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa6e9bc…
11-05 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x36ba0a…
11-02 08:04:16	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xd7a3ea…
11-01 18:01:24	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x1a0063…
11-01 18:01:07	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xaecc14…
11-01 17:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x96c0b0…
11-01 17:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5cc937…
11-01 17:42:15	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2604f9…
10-30 10:43:30	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1e481d…
10-30 10:41:25	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x226bda…
10-30 07:57:09	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$4	0xf443da…
10-30 07:09:28	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1ea1f1…
10-30 07:03:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$4	0x6a2794…
10-30 07:02:04	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6725ca…
10-29 11:21:41	Will Notts County FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xe718d3…
10-29 11:12:41	Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x241ef3…
10-29 10:24:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x1457e4…
10-29 09:04:07	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x7000d9…
10-29 02:12:17	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd46cf2…
10-29 02:12:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x96b801…
10-29 02:11:41	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x61d06b…
10-28 07:13:04	Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf4e59f…
10-27 11:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9f1ea1…
10-26 07:59:54	Will Notts County FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7ed8f8…
10-23 08:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x1767ee…
10-23 04:19:50	Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x7de367…
10-23 04:19:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xad6f6c…
10-23 04:19:45	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xdb5bc4…
10-21 08:45:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6140fd…
10-16 08:09:18	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xfb2606…
10-16 07:59:58	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1cf897…
10-16 06:45:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa69424…
10-16 06:42:54	Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbecfe5…
10-16 06:21:34	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0ecfc8…
10-16 03:58:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x3f5b6f…
10-15 03:55:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x485f20…
10-15 03:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xd8dcf6…
10-15 03:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb5b67d…
10-14 16:35:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x74c0d2…
10-14 13:05:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc5f3b4…
10-14 10:09:55	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x03df3f…
10-14 09:11:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xd99a4d…
10-14 03:45:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x2ff0ea…
10-10 09:27:06	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x320430…
10-09 09:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x639ba1…
10-09 09:04:03	Spread: Wales (-2.5)	Wales	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xc43e85…
10-09 08:54:40	Spread: Ireland (-1.5)	Ireland	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7a84d4…
10-08 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x878966…
10-08 17:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa65694…
10-08 16:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x58c9f8…
10-08 16:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xdda9a2…
10-08 15:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x6924fb…
10-08 15:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x4d04a4…
10-08 15:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xc13ec1…
10-08 15:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0xd4ecf4…
10-08 07:55:00	Will Austria win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xff0fb5…
10-08 07:54:58	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc0ac93…
10-08 07:54:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x49e951…
10-08 07:44:28	Will Austria win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x88cea2…
10-08 07:43:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5bb99…
10-08 07:41:31	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x31b676…
10-08 07:40:28	Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x38ad6c…
10-08 07:38:18	Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x423e00…
10-08 07:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2bcbb7…
10-08 07:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf6943c…
10-08 07:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2283a1…
10-08 02:46:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x2c56a1…
10-08 02:42:25	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4ceced…
10-08 02:41:34	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcad307…
09-29 09:37:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1e8bbc…
09-29 02:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x70bcdb…
09-24 11:01:59	Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)	Chicago Fire FC	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xda5550…
09-24 11:01:51	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x9310bb…
09-24 11:01:35	Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)	Chicago Fire FC	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x194db7…
09-24 09:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x37febc…
09-24 09:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbf4931…
09-24 08:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x53873b…
09-24 07:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb11f7d…
09-24 07:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x68b323…
09-24 07:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa3594f…
09-24 07:40:47	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xd997c9…
09-24 07:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x229ff9…
09-24 03:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc21d8a…
09-24 03:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdace13…
09-24 03:21:45	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6a48e7…
09-23 09:39:13	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2f74e1…
09-23 08:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x91a9e8…