Vigilant-Clove 0x51bf11…5359d3
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
6
14 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$34
$87 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$76
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 19:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90% — —
Other
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +25 $21 89¢ $22 +$1 05-09 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $9 80¢ $9 +$0 05-07 21:55
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-1 05-08 18:27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +10 $8 80¢ $8 $-0 05-09 18:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $-0 05-09 18:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -9 $-6 84¢ $-8 $-1 05-06 15:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 05-06 16:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 05-09 18:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 80¢ $3 $-0 05-09 18:35