Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$362
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
41
lifetime
Volume
$3.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$2.59K
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-13 02:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
96%
Other
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +925 $800 98¢ $906 +$106 05-10 21:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +972 $700 84¢ $812 +$112 05-10 04:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +786 $457 76¢ $602 +$145 05-13 00:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +244 $100 40¢ $98 $-2 05-12 22:57
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No +54,153 $108 $54 $-54 05-12 19:30
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +35,000 $35 $35 +$0 05-12 02:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +948 $28 $24 $-4 05-13 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 05-11 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +7,418 $19 $19 $-0 05-12 18:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Yes +683 $12 $11 $-1 05-12 16:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? Yes -4,864 $-69 $-7 +$61 05-12 01:03
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes -8 $-11 32¢ $-3 +$8 05-11 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +184 $3 $2 $-1 05-12 17:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $8 66¢ $1 $-8 05-10 12:37