Realized P&L
-$209
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
473
Trades
648
lifetime
Volume
$9.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$259
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-16 07:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Crypto
81% 50% -$170
Other
10% 41% -$36
Politics
9% 74% -$4
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Sports
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +63 $60 97¢ $61 +$1 07-09 11:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +53 $33 97¢ $52 +$19 07-31 08:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 95¢ $30 +$0 05-07 12:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 05-07 23:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +14 $10 90¢ $13 +$3 08-05 09:16
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 09-29 06:14
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 09-16 06:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 10-16 07:03
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-16 07:01
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +13 $10 83¢ $11 +$1 09-16 06:36
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 09-16 06:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 05-07 04:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $10 18¢ $6 -$4 09-16 06:26