Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
57
Trades
1,612
lifetime
Volume
$3.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$81
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-29 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
46% 50% +$3
Other
43% 43% $-19
Sports
8% 44% +$10
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +8 $6 100¢ $8 +$2 06-22 09:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-3 100¢ $-7 $-4 06-21 19:41
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 06-06 02:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +10 $3 69¢ $7 +$4 06-10 18:20
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 99¢ $-7 $-3 05-31 12:14
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 68¢ $6 +$0 06-03 06:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 $-0 06-27 04:33
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +10 $6 60¢ $6 $-0 06-25 16:13
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$1 06-02 21:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 16:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 +$0 06-24 15:59
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:21
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +51 $10 $2 $-7 06-26 16:08
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +5 $2 33¢ $2 $-0 06-12 20:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -3 $-2 52¢ $-2 +$1 06-26 15:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:35
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-27 07:16
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 23¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:26
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $4 $0 $-4 06-10 02:20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +38 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:02
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +56 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:14