Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
57
Trades
1,214
lifetime
Volume
$2.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$81
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-09 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
44% 50% +$3
Other
43% 43% $-19
Sports
10% 44% +$10
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 06-06 02:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +45 $6 15¢ $6 +$1 06-05 17:19
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 92¢ $-6 $-2 05-31 12:14
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-07 20:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-3 76¢ $-6 $-2 06-08 04:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$0 06-08 13:57
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 06-03 06:08
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $-0 06-02 21:57
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +10 $5 43¢ $4 $-1 06-08 19:47
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-31 14:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-03 22:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -5 $-5 74¢ $-4 +$1 06-09 16:55
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 82¢ $3 $-0 06-08 14:35
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 +$0 06-03 13:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $4 $2 $-2 06-10 02:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 06-01 02:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 16¢ $-2 +$1 06-09 01:22
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 06-07 21:35
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +38 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 12:02
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +56 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:14
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +32 $6 $0 $-6 06-03 14:08