Reckless-Entrance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,641

lifetime

Volume

$3.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-01 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

46% 50% +$3

Other

43% 43% $-19

Sports

8% 44% +$10

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$84	111	111	+0	open	—	05-24 15:19
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	23	$71	62	62	+0	open	—	06-18 06:49
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	23	$64	72	62	+9	open	—	04-19 19:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	23	$57	127	67	+60	open	—	04-27 17:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	25	$49	68	68	+0	open	—	04-22 13:06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	9	$46	45	50	-5	Mattia Bellucci	+$10	05-07 14:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	6	$43	35	39	-4	open	—	05-25 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$42	45	45	+0	open	—	04-18 12:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	24	$42	165	167	-2	open	—	06-01 15:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$41	71	81	-10	open	—	06-16 10:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	15	$39	61	67	-6	open	—	05-25 20:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	04-14 04:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	13	$37	75	90	-15	open	—	06-14 18:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$37	44	44	+0	open	—	06-29 01:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	06-20 02:46
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	14	$33	109	66	+43	open	—	06-25 07:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	13	$32	73	69	+4	open	—	05-26 03:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$31	61	61	+0	open	—	04-18 12:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$29	65	73	-8	open	—	05-25 19:28
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	11	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 02:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$28	67	67	+0	open	—	04-15 21:30
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	12	$27	61	26	+35	open	—	06-17 17:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	5	$27	100	32	+69	open	—	05-23 09:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$26	61	60	+2	open	—	06-20 17:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	8	$24	17	27	-10	open	—	06-30 11:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	04-25 16:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	8	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	06-25 13:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	7	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-30 11:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	6	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 17:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:07:13	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x221dea…
06-30 12:31:44	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	No	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x00bb98…
06-30 11:49:38	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c74fa…
06-30 11:49:37	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x16c9f8…
06-30 11:49:34	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd65962…
06-30 11:49:31	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x25a429…
06-30 11:49:23	nick fuentes arrested by june 30	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3279e5…
06-30 11:49:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x4e56aa…
06-30 11:49:10	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x281add…
06-30 11:49:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x45955e…
06-30 11:49:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xd37687…
06-30 11:49:02	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xb0cf2a…
06-30 11:48:59	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x5c0658…
06-30 11:48:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x6e06e9…
06-30 11:48:55	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x2482bd…
06-30 11:48:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x25c6e9…
06-30 11:48:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x1b37a1…
06-30 11:48:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x264272…
06-30 11:48:46	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xf0c074…
06-30 11:48:41	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xb2a0ac…
06-30 11:48:40	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xb388df…
06-30 11:48:35	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x8a5488…
06-30 11:48:25	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by august 30 20260609151517551	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x2089e8…
06-30 11:48:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xa6c4bc…
06-30 11:48:16	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xc6b7f7…
06-30 11:48:14	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xf5f91a…
06-30 11:47:49	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x3719e4…
06-30 11:47:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xf9ebcf…
06-30 11:47:29	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xafce60…
06-29 19:01:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xe6e301…
06-29 18:49:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x78a38e…
06-29 18:35:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x639931…
06-29 18:08:23	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x811c1a…
06-29 13:20:26	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x241d71…
06-29 13:06:38	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7b8ef2…
06-29 01:32:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xafe4b6…
06-29 01:32:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x45f056…
06-29 01:32:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xde1d37…
06-29 01:32:38	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x0f93a3…
06-29 00:07:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x59bd1c…
06-28 23:25:37	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x1deb96…
06-28 23:11:38	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd5e102…
06-28 22:57:43	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc14443…
06-28 22:29:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd6e2f3…
06-28 20:35:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3f830b…
06-28 19:26:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a6a6b…
06-28 18:21:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb50aa0…
06-28 17:32:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xa32420…
06-28 17:21:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x74f591…
06-28 17:03:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x02135a…
06-28 15:05:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xebed31…
06-28 13:06:10	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1d8f8a…
06-28 08:35:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xe158d1…
06-28 08:06:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x2087fa…
06-28 03:24:25	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb395b1…
06-28 01:45:49	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6c0c24…
06-27 23:50:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2916ef…
06-27 21:56:28	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4430b5…
06-27 21:46:20	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x35894b…
06-27 20:58:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x424114…
06-27 18:02:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x925147…
06-27 17:32:28	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4d229e…
06-27 14:24:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xfc7a4d…
06-27 14:24:44	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x48f1e4…
06-27 14:10:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x8cb43c…
06-27 14:10:20	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x248765…
06-27 13:48:13	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb54d6a…
06-27 13:41:50	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xeaba82…
06-27 13:13:52	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xc089e6…
06-27 12:45:11	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x71cb42…
06-27 12:15:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xd95e43…
06-27 12:02:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xef7e75…
06-27 11:49:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x84266f…
06-27 11:22:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbb23c7…
06-27 11:01:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdaaf4c…
06-27 10:55:58	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x43d6fe…
06-27 10:18:56	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x71bd15…
06-27 10:18:43	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x49b4cd…
06-27 09:59:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf7affd…
06-27 09:48:52	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x2e7e9d…
06-27 09:46:43	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x8aa99a…
06-27 09:45:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xcfbc7e…
06-27 09:43:22	iran successfully targets shipping by july 14 20260625215135371	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x517619…
06-27 09:32:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x201d8b…
06-27 07:16:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x680e6b…
06-27 06:34:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x941da6…
06-27 06:21:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x07dddd…
06-27 04:33:19	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe6364f…
06-27 01:37:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x22e4c1…
06-27 01:10:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc5a0b4…
06-26 21:17:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe643fb…
06-26 21:03:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ad6ce…
06-26 21:03:04	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa75bfa…
06-26 20:20:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfac389…
06-26 20:20:02	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc9f34…
06-26 16:58:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xea8ee0…
06-26 16:54:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x2f11ef…
06-26 16:08:40	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x311203…
06-26 15:11:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x83e534…
06-26 14:57:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x961ca3…