Crafty-Grandparent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-21 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 83% $-0

Other

20% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	07-21 02:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	12	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	06-24 04:56
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	4	$698	350	350	+0	open	—	06-30 04:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	06-25 07:10
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	9	$527	224	304	-80	open	—	03-27 05:43
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	8	$519	260	260	+0	open	—	06-26 05:19
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	6	$437	220	220	+0	open	—	07-21 02:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$429	216	216	+0	open	—	03-19 03:20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	4	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 07:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	4	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	06-23 03:15
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	4	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 07:56
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$389	199	199	+0	open	—	07-01 09:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	8	$377	193	187	+6	open	—	04-29 07:44
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	8	$375	189	189	+0	open	—	03-22 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$350	176	176	+0	open	—	04-13 05:32
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	7	$338	170	170	+0	open	—	04-28 03:11
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	5	$324	163	163	+0	open	—	07-09 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$317	160	160	+0	open	—	07-10 14:25
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	4	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	06-24 04:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	05-21 05:52
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	4	$289	146	146	+0	open	—	03-17 04:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	06-26 05:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	07-04 03:15
will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	07-08 11:17
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	07-21 02:06
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 07:36
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 03:13
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 10:10
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 03:38
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	3	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	02-23 03:08
ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	07-11 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc98a17…
07-21 02:08:18	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4eb97a…
07-21 02:07:45	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe6380f…
07-21 02:07:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x67a2e7…
07-21 02:06:45	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd17274…
07-21 02:04:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x819572…
07-18 04:10:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdacfab…
07-18 04:09:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc336c5…
07-18 04:08:27	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a4d1d…
07-18 04:06:21	ethereum above 2300 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdd6c3…
07-18 04:05:39	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a45b0…
07-17 02:08:49	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x99022b…
07-15 01:55:16	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x061c9f…
07-15 01:54:53	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe12f97…
07-15 01:52:44	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf9351a…
07-15 01:44:25	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8e9aa3…
07-15 01:43:08	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe8f028…
07-11 08:03:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xa866d5…
07-10 14:25:10	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x13f1f7…
07-09 03:13:22	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x64ac22…
07-09 03:13:02	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x18f530…
07-09 03:10:34	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x36261a…
07-09 03:10:01	ethereum above 1900 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd3dcd…
07-09 03:09:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5ca606…
07-09 03:09:11	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x364250…
07-09 03:09:01	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x5e00a8…
07-09 03:08:47	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x58bf45…
07-08 11:23:59	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x822484…
07-08 11:23:38	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5f36d3…
07-08 11:23:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbcf992…
07-08 11:22:46	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xee2d51…
07-08 11:22:13	ethereum up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0af5c6…
07-08 11:21:32	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4c60fb…
07-08 11:21:16	ethereum above 1800 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xfb6276…
07-08 11:18:07	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6bf51d…
07-08 11:17:55	will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xef96a7…
07-07 03:16:47	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x21cffd…
07-07 03:16:29	will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4983e4…
07-07 03:16:05	xrp above 1pt4 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe0e3fb…
07-07 03:15:38	ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcb4382…
07-07 03:14:31	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93b057…
07-07 03:14:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66d7d5…
07-07 03:14:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x75e4eb…
07-07 03:13:58	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x4ab185…
07-07 03:13:49	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbc39c8…
07-04 05:53:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x707104…
07-04 05:52:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1cbe33…
07-04 05:50:44	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x2aa256…
07-04 03:19:23	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc8f245…
07-04 03:17:32	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x704ec1…
07-04 03:15:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5c2bcd…
07-03 10:12:23	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6b6da6…
07-03 10:10:56	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x609067…
07-03 10:10:46	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xeb02a6…
07-02 03:21:55	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c74d6…
07-02 03:20:25	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x282d29…
07-02 03:12:11	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x24f284…
07-01 09:16:02	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xda990d…
07-01 09:15:32	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9ee282…
07-01 09:13:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x72bd3c…
07-01 09:12:49	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x869e8c…
07-01 09:11:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x556b77…
07-01 09:11:13	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9da41…
07-01 09:11:04	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x61dfbf…
07-01 09:10:47	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	199	97¢	$194	0x9b8e76…
06-30 04:17:14	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf44100…
06-30 04:15:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd91d1…
06-30 04:13:16	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e4d2a…
06-30 04:11:13	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x295615…
06-30 04:09:34	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xae057f…
06-30 04:08:25	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd625d7…
06-27 08:00:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3fd0d5…
06-27 07:58:55	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7b5bee…
06-27 07:57:55	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf582b1…
06-27 07:56:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb6cc7f…
06-27 07:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa25c63…
06-27 07:56:07	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6a4dd5…
06-27 07:55:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x229b05…
06-26 05:22:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5884a3…
06-26 05:22:02	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x210bc8…
06-26 05:20:26	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5b1dc6…
06-26 05:20:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4afa1d…
06-26 05:19:34	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x33eab0…
06-26 05:19:07	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9b7813…
06-26 05:18:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0cfa30…
06-26 05:18:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd86275…
06-25 07:12:41	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x397d34…
06-25 07:11:46	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x068a39…
06-25 07:11:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbde175…
06-25 07:11:14	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x052976…
06-25 07:10:35	gta vi released before november 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe28f7…
06-25 07:10:26	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x6d78eb…
06-24 04:57:41	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa5666b…
06-24 04:56:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4a1bd…
06-24 04:56:43	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb66cd9…
06-24 04:56:31	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x12dbb8…
06-24 04:56:20	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x7ab7e0…
06-24 04:56:10	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfe5fbc…
06-24 04:55:58	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x57fa15…
06-24 04:55:49	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbdfa79…