Realized P&L
+$23.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$27.6K
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
140
Trades
5,823
lifetime
Volume
$14.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.56K
Open exposure
$940.1K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 06-07 01:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
51%
54%
-$109,238
Politics
45%
94%
+$95,409
Sports
4%
25%
+$39,053
Crypto
0%
67%
-$1,498
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -682,830 | -$645,614 | 98¢ | $-669515 | -$23,900 | 06-07 01:09 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -258,291 | -$225,995 | 96¢ | $-248088 | -$22,093 | 06-07 00:38 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -24,193 | -$20,314 | 82¢ | $-19717 | +$596 | 06-07 01:09 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | -9,861 | -$5,818 | 12¢ | $-1134 | +$4,684 | 06-07 01:07 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -11,143 | -$5,794 | 7¢ | $-780 | +$5,014 | 06-07 01:06 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -14,865 | -$3,568 | 2¢ | $-320 | +$3,248 | 06-07 01:05 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -8,969 | -$2,781 | 4¢ | $-314 | +$2,467 | 06-07 01:06 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | -7,659 | -$2,680 | 4¢ | $-268 | +$2,412 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 1,131 | $2.67M | 2,727,113 | 12,490 | +2,714,623 | No | +$68,123 | 03-04 19:17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 539 | $2.24M | 863,456 | 1,546,285 | -682,830 | open | — | 06-07 01:09 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 158 | $1.50M | 1,501,486 | 0 | +1,501,486 | Yes | +$1,501 | 03-03 12:34 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 53 | $894.1K | 879,970 | 16,111 | +863,859 | Yes | +$1,918 | 04-08 09:09 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 73 | $797.5K | 799,087 | 0 | +799,087 | Yes | +$1,598 | 04-09 08:54 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 24 | $740.2K | 476,562 | 267,907 | +208,655 | Yes | +$1,470 | 03-18 15:33 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 158 | $604.8K | 609,754 | 0 | +609,754 | Yes | +$4,990 | 01-27 23:38 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 6 | $533.8K | 186,012 | 444,303 | -258,291 | open | — | 06-07 00:38 |
| cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21 | 28 | $533.5K | 838,005 | 835,519 | +2,486 | Texas Longhorns | +$19,697 | 03-21 06:52 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2 | $387.6K | 200,000 | 200,000 | +0 | No | -$400 | 04-28 13:08 |
| cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18 | 186 | $306.7K | 222,222 | 288,888 | -66,666 | Prairie View A&M Panthers | +$39,999 | 03-18 07:36 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 17 | $286.6K | 200,762 | 100,291 | +100,472 | No | +$13,720 | 04-28 12:56 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 20 | $267.5K | 254,066 | 14,257 | +239,809 | Yes | +$788 | 04-29 16:09 |
| cbb missr mia 2026 03 20 | 17 | $234.1K | 419,801 | 41,051 | +378,751 | Miami Hurricanes | +$101 | 03-19 07:50 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2 | $150.7K | 78,696 | 78,696 | +0 | No | -$78 | 04-28 14:27 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 30 | $140.9K | 80,545 | 80,545 | +0 | No | +$3,350 | 03-24 05:09 |
| cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29 | 5 | $139.0K | 290,000 | 289,226 | +774 | Michigan Wolverines | +$5,606 | 03-29 14:28 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 20 | $137.6K | 137,732 | 0 | +137,732 | Yes | +$150 | 04-30 15:50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $123.8K | 0 | 125,691 | -125,691 | No | -$1,894 | 06-07 00:39 |
| cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21 | 25 | $123.3K | 108,153 | 108,153 | +0 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | $0 | 03-20 14:17 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1 | $122.8K | 123,446 | 0 | +123,446 | No | +$617 | 04-01 11:16 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 37 | $118.3K | 119,696 | 0 | +119,696 | No | +$1,436 | 03-09 06:17 |
| lol blg fox1 2026 03 16 | 221 | $113.1K | 239,264 | 75,713 | +163,551 | Bilibili Gaming | +$21,145 | 03-16 16:12 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 2 | $103.5K | 52,042 | 52,042 | +0 | No | +$365 | 04-03 14:50 |
| cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20 | 44 | $88.9K | 305,000 | 171,861 | +133,139 | UCLA Bruins | -$27,015 | 03-21 00:39 |
| cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 | 41 | $83.6K | 99,425 | 32,574 | +66,851 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -$58,994 | 03-19 02:19 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 7 | $82.9K | 42,529 | 42,529 | +0 | No | +$773 | 04-25 07:02 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 16 | $82.2K | 44,445 | 44,444 | +0 | open | — | 05-30 15:27 |
| cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22 | 17 | $79.9K | 137,433 | 23,253 | +114,180 | Alabama Crimson Tide | +$709 | 03-23 01:59 |
| lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game3 | 3 | $70.9K | 99,822 | 0 | +99,822 | G2 Esports | -$70,873 | 03-21 14:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||