Uncomfortable-Tenet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

5,739

lifetime

Volume

$12.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.21K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-07 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Other

47% 67% $-1,155

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,131	$2.67M	2,727,113	12,490	+2,714,623	open	—	03-04 19:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	158	$1.50M	1,501,486	0	+1,501,486	open	—	03-03 12:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	527	$1.14M	0	1,215,345	-1,215,345	open	—	06-07 01:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	53	$894.1K	879,970	16,111	+863,859	open	—	04-08 09:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	73	$797.5K	799,087	0	+799,087	open	—	04-09 08:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	24	$740.2K	476,562	267,907	+208,655	open	—	03-18 15:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	158	$604.8K	609,754	0	+609,754	open	—	01-27 23:38
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	28	$533.5K	838,005	835,519	+2,486	open	—	03-21 06:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$379.9K	0	444,303	-444,303	open	—	06-07 00:38
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	186	$306.7K	222,222	288,888	-66,666	open	—	03-18 07:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	17	$286.6K	200,762	100,291	+100,472	open	—	04-28 12:56
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	17	$234.1K	419,801	41,051	+378,751	open	—	03-19 07:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$140.9K	80,545	80,545	+0	open	—	03-24 05:09
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	5	$139.0K	290,000	289,226	+774	open	—	03-29 14:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$137.6K	137,732	0	+137,732	open	—	04-30 15:50
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	25	$123.3K	108,153	108,153	+0	open	—	03-20 14:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$122.8K	123,446	0	+123,446	open	—	04-01 11:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	37	$118.3K	119,696	0	+119,696	open	—	03-09 06:17
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	221	$113.1K	239,264	75,713	+163,551	open	—	03-16 16:12
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$103.5K	52,042	52,042	+0	open	—	04-03 14:50
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	44	$88.9K	305,000	171,861	+133,139	open	—	03-21 00:39
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	41	$83.6K	99,425	32,574	+66,851	open	—	03-19 02:19
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$82.9K	42,529	42,529	+0	No	+$773	04-25 07:02
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	17	$79.9K	137,433	23,253	+114,180	open	—	03-23 01:59
lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game3	3	$70.9K	99,822	0	+99,822	open	—	03-21 14:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$69.2K	0	70,050	-70,050	open	—	06-07 00:39
cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19 total 164pt5	17	$65.8K	87,424	44,234	+43,190	open	—	03-18 12:31
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	59	$57.0K	57,992	57,386	+605	open	—	03-18 02:45
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$53.1K	53,718	0	+53,718	open	—	03-24 05:37
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$48.1K	42,182	7,290	+34,891	open	—	03-18 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:09:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xaf70b7…
06-07 01:09:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	850	83¢	$705	0x69dcd2…
06-07 01:07:04	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9,861	59¢	$5,818	0x52c0ed…
06-07 01:06:39	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11,143	52¢	$5,794	0xcedc7c…
06-07 01:06:21	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7,659	35¢	$2,680	0x19b7d8…
06-07 01:06:01	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8,969	31¢	$2,781	0x73a72f…
06-07 01:05:19	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12,776	24¢	$3,066	0x7791a4…
06-07 01:05:13	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,089	24¢	$501	0xb8f56a…
06-07 01:03:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	24,173	85¢	$20,547	0x520285…
06-07 00:41:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	23,343	84¢	$19,608	0x6a40fd…
06-07 00:40:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	24,000	93¢	$22,296	0x24f624…
06-07 00:39:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70,050	99¢	$69,209	0x1a531e…
06-07 00:38:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	88,448	86¢	$76,065	0x0bcdb4…
06-07 00:37:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	133,704	86¢	$114,985	0xaea2a6…
06-07 00:37:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	24,949	94¢	$23,328	0x497a81…
06-07 00:36:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x0aac06…
06-07 00:36:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x5ef3d8…
06-07 00:35:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xefbd79…
06-07 00:35:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc3e542…
06-07 00:34:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe45bd9…
06-07 00:33:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xa1591b…
06-07 00:32:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe8b5ec…
06-07 00:32:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x44d071…
06-07 00:31:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x2aff1a…
06-07 00:31:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8cdbee…
06-07 00:31:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x92c3b7…
06-07 00:29:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x9df5e3…
06-07 00:29:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x577947…
06-07 00:28:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x5caa17…
06-07 00:27:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xd28614…
06-07 00:26:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xb89948…
06-07 00:25:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xcf8983…
06-07 00:23:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x226d48…
06-07 00:22:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xac806d…
06-07 00:21:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc0c6e7…
06-07 00:20:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x8569be…
06-07 00:19:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x115849…
06-07 00:19:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xb225fb…
06-07 00:18:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x1d6dd2…
06-07 00:05:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xaaf11f…
06-07 00:04:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x6d6fc5…
06-07 00:02:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xfe4e14…
06-07 00:01:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x6f38b8…
06-07 00:00:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9ddc04…
06-06 23:59:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xdd70bb…
06-06 23:59:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xdb03ae…
06-06 23:58:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x97cf8f…
06-06 23:57:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x18c28b…
06-06 23:56:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xd2ed2b…
06-06 23:56:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x68e05d…
06-06 23:55:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x42acde…
06-06 23:54:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$61	0x35555b…
06-06 23:54:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x87ab6c…
06-06 23:52:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xcb55ab…
06-06 23:52:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x70741f…
06-06 23:51:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe7c378…
06-06 23:49:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x132048…
06-06 23:48:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x9464c6…
06-06 23:48:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc02068…
06-06 23:46:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x2a67f8…
06-06 23:45:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xd34b29…
06-06 23:44:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x086030…
06-06 23:43:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xf12170…
06-06 23:43:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x3c105c…
06-06 23:42:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x3aa97e…
06-06 23:41:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xef24e6…
06-06 23:40:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x33cce8…
06-06 23:39:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xd7579f…
06-06 23:38:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x342ee8…
06-06 23:38:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x45f65e…
06-06 23:38:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8f7c73…
06-06 23:36:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x223a21…
06-06 23:35:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xef8f06…
06-06 23:35:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8874a4…
06-06 23:34:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xcdc91f…
06-06 23:32:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x42d9cf…
06-06 23:32:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x9dbd50…
06-06 23:31:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x4e3dde…
06-06 23:31:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xb8115d…
06-06 23:29:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd45d20…
06-06 23:29:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xbd8e53…
06-06 23:28:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x85c4af…
06-06 23:28:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x553fc0…
06-06 23:27:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xb9840a…
06-06 23:26:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xd571ba…
06-06 23:25:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xb94de9…
06-06 23:24:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe5b7ce…
06-06 23:22:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x92d41c…
06-06 23:21:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x7d8e64…
06-06 23:20:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x5a6427…
06-06 23:19:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xa7f08f…
06-06 23:19:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x2cc257…
06-06 23:19:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1816fa…
06-06 23:18:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x5cfca2…
06-06 23:18:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xc24809…
06-06 23:18:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x71b3e4…
06-06 23:17:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xf28d03…
06-06 23:17:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x5ea240…
06-06 23:17:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe4d377…
06-06 23:16:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1eb060…