Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
65
Trades
142
lifetime
Volume
$1.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$309
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 10-21 06:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
80% 87% -$35
Tech
10% 100% +$22
Politics
6% 100% +$4
Sports
2% 100% +$2
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +142 $109 90¢ $128 +$19 05-07 14:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +79 $75 96¢ $76 +$0 10-13 05:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $33 82¢ $33 -$1 10-13 05:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 $0 10-20 00:57
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +20 $16 83¢ $17 +$1 10-13 22:18
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 05-01 02:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 10-13 12:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 10-14 05:25