Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$212

Unrealized P&L

-$2.43K

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,726 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$25.0K

$295.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$15.1K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 48% -$9,502

Other

34% 47% -$1,096

Politics

12% 67% -$214

Sports

1% 44% +$1,500

Tech

1% 20% -$3,698

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+4,000	$3,760	94¢	$3.8K	+$20	10-29 14:14
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,768	-$2,574	96¢	$-2644	-$69	10-10 01:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+4,000	$2,840	57¢	$2.3K	-$560	10-19 02:20
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+4,000	$2,240	56¢	$2.3K	+$20	10-22 05:38
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	-2,593	-$1,880	81¢	$-2100	-$220	10-09 15:02
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+793	$437	93¢	$738	+$300	10-24 10:22
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	-413	-$394	96¢	$-397	-$3	10-16 08:38
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-700	-$363	47¢	$-329	+$34	10-07 07:02
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+5,782	$1,571	5¢	$289	-$1,282	07-01 17:55
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	+1,628	$876	8¢	$138	-$737	08-27 10:34
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+1,501	$377	2¢	$38	-$340	09-29 16:28
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-2,800	-$637	1¢	$-36	+$600	09-22 07:55
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-2,900	-$348	1¢	$-35	+$313	07-22 21:12
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+150	$489	17¢	$26	-$464	10-15 13:18
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	-25	-$2	1¢	$-0	+$2	07-17 07:01
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$40	100¢	$0	-$40	10-18 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	17	$16.9K	17,021	0	+17,021	No	+$122	06-17 19:46
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	63	$15.8K	3,865	20,008	-16,142	No	-$4,869	01-30 12:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$5	06-07 13:42
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	28	$9.0K	5,207	4,907	+300	No	+$620	01-22 17:18
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	22	$8.6K	8,720	9,100	-380	No	+$1,234	02-04 15:38
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?	29	$8.2K	7,276	7,276	+0	No	+$188	02-10 18:34
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	36	$7.9K	8,670	5,788	+2,882	Yes	-$1,248	01-10 15:30
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	24	$6.4K	4,575	4,575	+0	No	+$452	01-13 09:35
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	30	$5.7K	4,567	4,727	-160	No	+$1,171	01-16 09:22
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	13	$4.6K	2,633	2,633	+0	No	+$678	03-24 17:42
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$4.3K	3,490	3,490	+0	No	+$317	01-28 18:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	10-29 14:14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	21	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-18 15:59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	21	$3.6K	8,200	0	+8,200	Yes	-$3,629	07-24 16:21
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	29	$3.5K	3,897	3,897	+0	Yes	-$62	01-10 14:57
will russia announce a christmas truce	16	$3.5K	1,957	1,795	+162	No	-$7	01-04 21:56
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	11	$3.3K	2,393	1,600	+793	open	—	10-24 10:22
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	7	$3.3K	8,163	3,264	+4,899	Yes	-$2,095	02-25 20:06
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$3.2K	2,189	1,289	+900	No	+$197	01-21 03:38
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	9	$3.1K	1,898	1,898	+0	No	+$454	02-07 00:22
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	27	$2.9K	2,203	2,400	-197	No	-$259	02-28 08:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	10-19 02:20
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	11	$2.8K	4,445	1,981	+2,463	Yes	-$289	01-07 08:53
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	43	$2.8K	10,003	5,267	+4,736	Yes	-$402	01-10 15:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$2.7K	2,900	0	+2,900	No	+$212	10-17 13:11
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$2.6K	0	2,768	-2,768	open	—	10-10 01:48
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	17	$2.6K	2,336	2,893	-557	Yes	+$323	01-10 15:39
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	11	$2.6K	1,379	1,379	+0	No	+$83	01-20 17:42
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	18	$2.6K	900	1,822	-922	No	-$11	02-11 16:55
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	15	$2.5K	2,500	5,900	-3,400	No	-$1,976	02-04 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:14:20	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	4,000	94¢	$3,760	0xd03861…
10-28 11:03:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	244	23¢	$56	0x4b04d1…
10-28 10:52:59	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0x996d61…
10-24 10:43:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	400	38¢	$152	0x5dbcb9…
10-24 10:22:03	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	720	92¢	$664	0xf0fbff…
10-23 20:37:48	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x03a3e7…
10-23 17:28:51	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xdb7806…
10-22 05:38:02	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,000	56¢	$2,240	0x0fc2ab…
10-20 12:52:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x16235a…
10-19 02:20:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4,000	71¢	$2,840	0xecc3bb…
10-18 15:59:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	137	91¢	$124	0xee658e…
10-18 15:15:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	549	91¢	$500	0xe59209…
10-18 15:10:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	121	91¢	$110	0x3ff059…
10-18 14:11:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xdbf72c…
10-18 13:15:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xc34589…
10-18 13:02:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x219eca…
10-18 12:56:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1d02ac…
10-18 11:46:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x931312…
10-18 11:25:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0bdbc5…
10-18 11:23:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	91¢	$728	0xdc06e3…
10-18 11:03:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2e2dc9…
10-18 10:11:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x974986…
10-18 09:54:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe37584…
10-18 09:45:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x618a58…
10-18 09:39:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8e5f4b…
10-18 09:37:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x85642a…
10-18 09:35:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xee5009…
10-18 09:13:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xec4f1a…
10-18 09:08:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xf06bf6…
10-18 08:57:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x843884…
10-18 07:13:38	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	370	32¢	$118	0xe3ad68…
10-18 05:32:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x1ece24…
10-17 15:54:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xe8be1d…
10-17 15:43:02	over 30m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x80f3cf…
10-17 14:36:39	over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	252	26¢	$66	0x2846a8…
10-17 13:14:54	over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	248	26¢	$64	0x580d8b…
10-17 13:11:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	900	92¢	$828	0x30d815…
10-17 13:10:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x275104…
10-16 08:38:36	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	283	95¢	$270	0x5b747c…
10-15 13:18:34	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	960	40¢	$384	0x046a29…
10-15 13:15:16	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0x9ab56f…
10-14 09:51:56	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xc34cf7…
10-14 04:16:25	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xcf555a…
10-13 22:19:00	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	721	40¢	$288	0x33f74d…
10-11 04:36:26	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5b8eb3…
10-10 23:06:51	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xfcb9d7…
10-10 22:02:04	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9696c8…
10-10 12:49:13	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	345	95¢	$328	0xa72057…
10-10 09:51:00	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8fcbf…
10-10 07:34:10	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x56ebc6…
10-10 01:48:43	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	341	93¢	$317	0x483f56…
10-09 20:46:56	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x168142…
10-09 20:34:37	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x998072…
10-09 15:26:12	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	229	95¢	$217	0x0f5eaf…
10-09 15:23:18	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xe6dec2…
10-09 15:02:21	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x6338ad…
10-09 15:01:39	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x121338…
10-09 14:51:36	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x8d82d1…
10-09 12:41:31	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	455	93¢	$423	0xc07927…
10-09 02:03:54	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x1c4194…
10-08 18:28:26	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x58cce8…
10-08 17:05:24	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	93¢	$70	0x774826…
10-08 10:53:54	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x13030d…
10-08 08:26:44	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xa03ca4…
10-08 03:04:34	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	634	88¢	$559	0x8d5b54…
10-07 14:56:05	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x730bfb…
10-07 14:46:25	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xf6c446…
10-07 12:13:11	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xa5acba…
10-07 10:47:36	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0x2a4d54…
10-07 10:23:17	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	88¢	$86	0xf30a41…
10-07 07:02:24	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,700	62¢	$1,055	0xd64b01…
10-07 06:44:56	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x7ba8f6…
10-07 04:19:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x9f919d…
10-07 02:22:14	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x8ebb62…
10-07 02:21:20	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	96¢	$83	0xc4f764…
10-06 21:50:15	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	122	72¢	$88	0x5152fd…
10-06 17:49:12	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x4d4f13…
10-06 17:37:11	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x29f1df…
10-06 17:33:21	Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	472	97¢	$458	0x9302fb…
10-06 17:33:06	Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$77	0x4201b3…
10-06 13:16:48	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x87c6a6…
10-06 09:00:31	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,712	93¢	$1,592	0x70c459…
10-06 08:56:51	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xfa429b…
10-06 08:56:06	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	394	72¢	$284	0x6e6c68…
10-04 09:43:32	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0xb8ba88…
10-04 09:43:32	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	213	73¢	$156	0x0cf96e…
10-03 21:51:01	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x33a9f4…
10-01 12:56:44	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	177	73¢	$129	0x0def1b…
09-29 16:28:27	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	217	30¢	$65	0x680887…
09-29 16:28:12	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x26780d…
09-29 16:27:44	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	30¢	$27	0xc5d96f…
09-29 16:27:41	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x5a53f3…
09-29 13:33:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xcbd9fc…
09-29 11:14:12	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x05ea96…
09-27 19:20:14	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	1,340	90¢	$1,204	0x6f7b50…
09-27 00:50:03	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xf02100…
09-25 10:56:45	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x26265d…
09-25 10:56:42	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	30¢	$13	0xd4d446…
09-24 08:55:11	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	543	74¢	$400	0x720b80…
09-24 08:36:05	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,489	30¢	$447	0x0f1f2d…