Absolute-Advertisement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$133

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-20 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-5

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		+89	$6	4¢	$4	$-2	06-20 07:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$12	943	+943	open	—	04-23 10:14
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	1	$11	122	+122	open	—	04-01 02:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	04-01 02:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$6	89	+89	open	—	06-20 07:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	06-05 07:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	155	+155	open	—	04-23 10:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$3	20	+20	open	—	03-25 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$3	500	+500	open	—	03-25 09:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	273	+273	open	—	04-01 02:47
will megaeth perform an airdrop by january 31 933 879 443	1	$3	66	+66	open	—	01-23 13:55
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$3	1,500	+1,500	open	—	04-26 06:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$3	22	+22	open	—	04-23 10:17
cs2 regain gk1 2026 03 31	2	$3	38	+38	open	—	04-01 02:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$2	34	+34	open	—	04-09 06:39
will starmer say deeply concerning during the next prime ministers questions event	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	04-01 02:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	400	+400	open	—	04-01 02:48
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$2	200	+200	open	—	03-25 09:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$2	18	+18	open	—	04-23 10:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$2	71	+71	open	—	04-09 06:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$2	32	+32	open	—	04-23 10:17
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	04-01 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$2	215	+215	open	—	04-26 06:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	1	$1	59	+59	open	—	06-12 17:14
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$1	143	+143	open	—	04-02 04:15
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	89	+89	No	$-1	04-09 06:44
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	250	+250	open	—	01-23 13:58
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-09 06:41
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	200	+200	No	$-1	04-01 03:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$1	20	+20	open	—	04-01 02:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	143	+143	open	—	03-11 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 07:45:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x436aeb…
06-12 17:14:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xae924c…
06-12 17:14:12	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xc1b39c…
06-05 07:32:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xe5c766…
06-05 07:32:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1bd4a1…
06-05 07:32:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x296cd9…
05-01 10:46:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xafc326…
04-26 06:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0x8404bd…
04-26 06:17:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x89f6b0…
04-23 10:18:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xaa28eb…
04-23 10:17:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb10231…
04-23 10:17:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x7f72fe…
04-23 10:17:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x0c1f45…
04-23 10:14:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0xdc7647…
04-23 10:14:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x05d973…
04-18 08:28:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	243	2¢	$5	0x813a8b…
04-09 06:47:29	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x14f884…
04-09 06:46:35	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x31656f…
04-09 06:44:55	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	239	0¢	$1	0x4bc54b…
04-09 06:44:49	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x1a9632…
04-09 06:44:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe59996…
04-09 06:42:23	will movement for a better hungary jobbik win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x256f7a…
04-09 06:42:13	will dialogue for hungary prbeszd win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x193b81…
04-09 06:42:07	will our homeland movement mi haznk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd2b21d…
04-09 06:41:59	will lmp hungarys green party lmp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3ad24…
04-09 06:41:53	will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x253fed…
04-09 06:41:45	will the christian democratic peoples party kdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc7bdba…
04-09 06:41:39	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b3510…
04-09 06:39:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xcc7dff…
04-09 06:39:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x5a7bc4…
04-09 06:39:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x232095…
04-09 06:39:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xe59f27…
04-02 04:16:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2bbce3…
04-02 04:15:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd38510…
04-01 03:00:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbba2e0…
04-01 03:00:35	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfd86fd…
04-01 03:00:29	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9ffec5…
04-01 03:00:19	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2c73e5…
04-01 02:59:19	cs2 regain gk1 2026 03 31	girl kissers	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8fd6ed…
04-01 02:58:19	atp kozlov magadan 2026 03 30	Stefan Kozlov	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xedbf54…
04-01 02:57:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9fa390…
04-01 02:56:45	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x079c9b…
04-01 02:55:15	btc updown 5m 1775011800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c00d7…
04-01 02:54:15	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x0b34fc…
04-01 02:52:01	cs2 regain gk1 2026 03 31	girl kissers	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x3e02d6…
04-01 02:51:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1abb5e…
04-01 02:51:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf68a89…
04-01 02:48:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc561c8…
04-01 02:48:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x87cbe6…
04-01 02:48:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xbefdb9…
04-01 02:47:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xd6763b…
04-01 02:47:09	will starmer say deeply concerning during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x119017…
04-01 02:45:13	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x03c639…
04-01 02:41:19	highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0xfeb58a…
04-01 02:41:09	highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xe08b8d…
03-25 09:20:29	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1796e3…
03-25 09:18:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfef869…
03-25 09:17:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xf501c4…
03-25 09:16:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc1e8c1…
03-11 10:21:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x082730…
03-11 10:21:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x594b78…
03-11 10:21:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x79d098…
03-11 10:20:13	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7d5a99…
03-11 10:19:49	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x459979…
03-11 10:18:51	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$0	0x638c21…
03-11 10:17:49	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x142572…
03-11 10:17:05	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x643746…
01-23 13:58:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd36d61…
01-23 13:57:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x0cba0c…
01-23 13:55:58	spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc80f7…
01-23 13:55:08	will megaeth perform an airdrop by january 31 933 879 443	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xc1d43e…