Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

392 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$197

$1.21K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

7 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 10-17 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

87% 24% -$178

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+40	$32	59¢	$24	-$9	10-09 20:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+40	$9	41¢	$16	+$8	10-11 07:31
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+9	$8	82¢	$7	$0	10-10 02:56
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-5	-$4	94¢	$-5	$0	10-05 15:44
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+9	$1	18¢	$2	+$0	10-11 21:58
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	-5	$0	8¢	$-0	-$1	10-10 10:44
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-5	$0	6¢	$-0	-$1	10-17 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	5	$171	185	185	+0	open	—	10-05 15:31
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	3	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	10-07 15:57
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$55	32	32	+0	open	—	10-05 08:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	3	$44	77	3	+74	open	—	10-17 14:12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	3	$42	80	0	+80	open	—	10-12 10:00
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-11 07:31
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-06 21:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$22	80	80	+0	open	—	10-05 07:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	6	$21	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 20:34
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	6	$15	76	76	+0	open	—	10-12 10:00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$15	47	57	-10	open	—	10-17 14:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	2	$15	31	31	+0	open	—	10-05 17:11
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	2	$14	40	40	+0	open	—	10-05 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 5?	2	$13	50	50	+0	No	+$3	09-03 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 5?	2	$12	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	09-04 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 5?	2	$11	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-04 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?	1	$10	77	0	+77	No	-$10	08-18 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 3?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	09-03 15:23
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	4	$9	40	45	-5	open	—	10-10 10:44
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	10-11 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 10?	3	$9	18	18	+0	No	+$4	09-10 04:22
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	2	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	10-12 10:00
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	4	$8	20	20	-0	No	-$1	10-17 14:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$8	33	33	+0	open	—	10-11 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 1?	2	$8	70	70	+0	No	-$2	07-31 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 31?	2	$8	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	08-31 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$2	08-30 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 1?	2	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	09-01 02:16
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?	3	$7	40	40	+0	open	—	10-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 29?	3	$7	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-28 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:13:14	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x09d55b…
10-17 14:12:51	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x9c9ffa…
10-17 14:12:14	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xda6aea…
10-15 20:34:29	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x8eb6f7…
10-13 21:55:52	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe458f0…
10-12 15:04:36	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xa1a964…
10-12 10:00:28	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xe6c389…
10-12 10:00:28	Another US debt downgrade before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x61dae7…
10-12 10:00:26	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc87e09…
10-12 10:00:26	Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x4b36e1…
10-12 10:00:26	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x2de441…
10-12 10:00:25	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x13391e…
10-12 10:00:23	Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x5e7608…
10-12 07:59:22	Another US debt downgrade before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xd7841e…
10-11 21:58:29	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x72ffbc…
10-11 11:45:17	Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xf968d2…
10-11 10:04:31	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x22dc97…
10-11 09:46:10	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x8e5b43…
10-11 07:31:22	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x983843…
10-10 23:17:46	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xdb85f3…
10-10 17:16:25	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x2f7d30…
10-10 17:15:33	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x6fedda…
10-10 17:15:06	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0xf895a0…
10-10 17:09:37	Another US debt downgrade before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x46ca5f…
10-10 10:44:15	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0x57a401…
10-10 09:20:49	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x13faca…
10-10 09:19:36	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xd130ca…
10-10 04:29:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xcc0a69…
10-10 02:56:12	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xdf7995…
10-10 01:12:29	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xb9c99b…
10-09 22:26:07	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x5fb9db…
10-09 21:13:43	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x04eb04…
10-09 20:37:59	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x80f2d5…
10-09 20:24:40	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x48b259…
10-09 20:16:31	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xa4dc18…
10-07 15:57:43	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x2679db…
10-07 07:42:39	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe87dcc…
10-06 21:19:11	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x4640ae…
10-06 11:31:33	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5ac8de…
10-06 03:36:52	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x23e40c…
10-05 18:20:11	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x582bac…
10-05 17:51:32	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x065df5…
10-05 17:51:31	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe38780…
10-05 17:50:34	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x5e6810…
10-05 17:43:07	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xff7998…
10-05 17:34:32	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x781e26…
10-05 17:11:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0x9b0a83…
10-05 17:10:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xac0103…
10-05 15:56:22	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x01bb54…
10-05 15:55:20	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x0ab6cc…
10-05 15:44:31	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x5be00f…
10-05 15:39:05	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x8f650a…
10-05 15:39:05	Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x1be6f9…
10-05 15:31:56	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x969154…
10-05 15:14:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x41ab10…
10-05 15:08:32	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0x1d1b24…
10-05 14:39:40	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x078182…
10-05 14:21:08	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xe1fdeb…
10-05 12:11:59	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xc981a4…
10-05 09:43:35	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd629a2…
10-05 08:46:55	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2634df…
10-05 08:44:58	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$26	0x8d473b…
10-05 08:44:32	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x70739e…
10-05 08:43:59	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x1fad35…
10-05 08:40:01	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xc4d862…
10-05 07:52:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xafd634…
10-05 07:52:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	135	43¢	$59	0xbf63d9…
10-05 07:52:13	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x284e2e…
10-05 07:14:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	145	41¢	$59	0x6edc1b…
10-05 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5f3357…
10-05 07:01:34	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0xc16a63…
10-05 06:53:22	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xf8941f…
10-05 05:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x652c5e…
10-04 17:10:01	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xbacede…
10-04 13:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9d3255…
10-04 13:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3fff2d…
10-04 13:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xde3e73…
10-04 13:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9266b6…
10-04 13:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x50a304…
10-04 13:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x90b858…
10-04 13:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe30157…
10-04 13:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xc62986…
10-04 08:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x442ae8…
10-04 07:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4dad5d…
10-03 17:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xda9c4b…
10-03 12:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x12976e…
10-03 08:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x8aac4b…
10-03 08:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x3faa3a…
10-03 08:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xb9904a…
10-03 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf1fd97…
10-02 21:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xdc17f0…
10-02 13:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x040b83…
10-02 12:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbd6bb4…
10-02 12:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x98bf7b…
10-01 16:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x6c6c57…
10-01 12:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xe6df64…
10-01 08:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on October 3?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x39ab87…
10-01 08:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x79c159…
10-01 07:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xee2bca…
09-30 12:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x27a681…