Fixed-Dredger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,572

lifetime

Volume

$571.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

48% 89% +$461

Politics

38% 56% $-215

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	57	$63.2K	67,110	9,562	+57,548	open	—	06-04 00:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	107	$32.3K	21,232	12,007	+9,224	open	—	03-19 21:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	58	$30.8K	31,171	33,440	-2,269	open	—	06-26 11:56
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$29.9K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	Yes	+$40	05-03 11:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	63	$21.9K	22,306	1,746	+20,560	open	—	04-30 20:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$21.1K	21,000	1,000	+20,000	open	—	04-08 20:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	211	$18.5K	10,000	9,785	+215	open	—	06-14 07:42
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	131	$11.3K	10,639	16,674	-6,035	open	—	03-15 23:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-21 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	26	$9.7K	11,031	8,502	+2,529	open	—	06-14 21:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	26	$9.5K	14,020	17,166	-3,145	open	—	06-14 21:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	24	$8.8K	7,311	7,311	+0	open	—	06-08 12:24
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	116	$8.5K	16,289	16,289	+0	open	—	07-07 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$8.5K	6,302	3,554	+2,748	open	—	07-01 09:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	40	$8.1K	8,137	6,245	+1,892	open	—	06-14 21:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	47	$8.0K	13,954	14,670	-716	open	—	06-14 21:16
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$6.1K	6,204	1	+6,203	open	—	05-14 19:40
will iran strike cyprus in march	44	$6.1K	4,820	4,217	+603	open	—	03-24 15:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$5.7K	6,223	0	+6,223	open	—	06-16 20:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$5.5K	4,138	4,138	+0	open	—	04-17 13:39
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	202	$5.3K	17,584	7,906	+9,677	open	—	04-28 10:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$4.9K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-11 18:46
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-11 17:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$4.7K	4,931	0	+4,931	open	—	02-28 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	30	$4.6K	4,210	3,310	+900	Yes	$-372	05-08 19:24
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	48	$4.5K	4,487	4,487	+0	open	—	04-21 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$4.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-03 20:47
Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$3.6K	3,605	0	+3,605	open	—	05-16 17:39
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	15	$3.5K	2,500	3,100	-600	open	—	01-14 18:13
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$3.4K	3,414	0	+3,414	open	—	05-14 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 18:13:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	420	83¢	$349	0x58de6c…
08-09 13:49:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xf403bb…
08-09 13:49:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x469a59…
08-09 12:41:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x3a3998…
08-09 12:41:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x03aca3…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x95453a…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x807677…
08-09 11:34:10	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x53e8a9…
08-09 11:31:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x132d15…
08-09 11:31:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	92	37¢	$34	0x052e51…
08-09 11:31:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9b7407…
08-09 11:31:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	276	37¢	$102	0x625f36…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xa4602c…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x4d6257…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0x478d4a…
08-09 11:19:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x3d7414…
08-09 11:19:16	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	410	83¢	$340	0x68a2e3…
08-09 11:17:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	999	59¢	$589	0xb17a36…
08-09 11:16:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xd59084…
08-09 11:12:58	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	228	83¢	$189	0x96d979…
08-09 11:12:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xd3d2de…
08-09 11:12:52	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x9f39df…
08-09 11:12:52	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	299	83¢	$248	0x02f6d7…
08-09 11:12:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	126	83¢	$105	0x529312…
08-07 20:32:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0xe882bc…
08-07 20:31:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3dbe37…
08-07 20:31:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xa25584…
08-07 20:27:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xca7831…
08-07 20:25:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x1ebe4e…
08-07 20:21:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,000	18¢	$540	0x577683…
08-07 20:17:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xffe81d…
08-07 11:04:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	123	53¢	$65	0x9e7125…
08-07 11:04:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	445	12¢	$54	0xb5b446…
08-06 16:06:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	418	26¢	$109	0x01b770…
08-06 16:03:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,355	84¢	$1,978	0xa0aa45…
08-06 16:01:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xcfe4fd…
08-06 16:01:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x515ed3…
08-06 16:00:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	410	24¢	$100	0x1e8c31…
08-06 13:00:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	365	60¢	$218	0xa05da5…
08-06 12:10:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	365	61¢	$223	0x48e167…
08-05 21:59:38	will trump praise dana white in august 20260728221212345	No	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x93f596…
08-05 21:18:44	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	Yes	SELL	96	36¢	$35	0x21abd5…
08-05 21:12:03	will trump praise dana white in august 20260728221212345	Yes	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xa5281c…
08-05 21:11:41	will trump praise dana white in august 20260728221212345	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$28	0x13094f…
08-05 20:50:41	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	932	45¢	$419	0x5a0d76…
08-05 20:49:54	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0xaa67d7…
08-05 15:07:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	466	46¢	$214	0x2fe1b5…
08-05 15:06:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	539	46¢	$248	0x7b9092…
08-05 14:21:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	190	39¢	$75	0x8594c4…
08-05 14:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	815	50¢	$407	0xdc4e6b…
08-05 11:00:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	203	22¢	$45	0x776108…
08-05 10:59:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	293	21¢	$62	0xfe4ab9…
08-05 10:59:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	890	21¢	$187	0xee0b19…
08-05 09:16:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	117	52¢	$61	0x9498f5…
08-05 09:15:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	503	52¢	$262	0x7ec4c0…
08-05 08:53:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	1,386	19¢	$263	0xba3c00…
08-05 08:50:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	620	51¢	$315	0x5d1a5c…
08-04 18:48:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	158	38¢	$60	0xc6e9e7…
08-04 18:27:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x4227ff…
08-04 18:27:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	238	38¢	$91	0xf2e498…
08-04 18:27:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	260	62¢	$161	0x6dc32f…
08-04 18:26:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	176	38¢	$67	0x3db3f5…
08-04 18:21:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	203	38¢	$77	0xa4d7ab…
08-04 18:19:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	260	62¢	$161	0xb22fb8…
08-04 18:19:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	146	38¢	$56	0x426ddd…
08-04 18:19:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	237	37¢	$88	0x0ae627…
08-03 20:47:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xe22a08…
08-03 20:47:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x469f85…
08-03 20:46:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x3d6e92…
08-03 20:46:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x91b529…
08-03 20:46:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x00eb12…
08-03 20:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x64c033…
08-03 20:46:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xd30c5d…
08-03 20:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x6d5a6f…
08-03 20:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xd53e94…
08-03 20:34:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x294e0a…
08-03 20:27:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x5bd138…
08-03 20:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xd3e165…
08-03 18:52:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb4503a…
08-03 18:46:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	233	43¢	$100	0x76b2da…
08-03 18:40:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	82	43¢	$35	0xd398fe…
08-03 18:03:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x117b3b…
08-03 18:03:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4,553	43¢	$1,958	0xd61afa…
08-03 17:16:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x10caeb…
08-03 17:16:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd0dc54…
08-03 17:16:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x20092e…
08-03 17:16:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x995522…
08-03 17:16:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x472e15…
08-03 17:16:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x09f218…
08-03 17:16:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x526d17…
08-03 17:16:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40b761…
08-03 17:16:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x68b853…
08-03 10:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	145	58¢	$84	0x8f7cc2…
08-03 09:48:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	43¢	$2,150	0x650610…
08-03 09:26:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	145	57¢	$83	0x77b5e0…
08-02 21:38:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	56	60¢	$34	0xf2d096…
08-02 21:38:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xac6af0…
08-02 21:38:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x81da74…
08-02 21:37:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	903	60¢	$542	0x3b9977…
08-02 21:37:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1,000	70¢	$700	0x639630…