Fixed-Dredger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.14K

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

533

Trades

5,564

lifetime

Volume

$923.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$19.9K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

49% 64% +$14,936

Politics

42% 60% +$6,170

Crypto

7% 73% +$1,224

Sports

2% 85% +$2,842

Tech

0% 0% -$44

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-8,677	-$8,469	99¢	$-8586	-$117	05-03 20:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+4,628	$4,304	96¢	$4.4K	+$116	08-24 17:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+5,000	$2,260	56¢	$2.8K	+$552	10-27 23:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+1,825	$1,743	97¢	$1.8K	+$27	10-01 19:44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+805	$362	84¢	$672	+$310	09-03 13:44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	-665	-$651	96¢	$-639	+$11	09-18 21:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+890	$587	67¢	$596	+$9	10-09 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	-200	-$188	98¢	$-195	-$7	05-08 23:12
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+1,208	$265	15¢	$175	-$90	09-24 11:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	+381	$141	14¢	$51	-$90	08-09 11:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	-$39	98¢	$1	+$40	06-14 07:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+50	$8	1¢	$0	-$7	10-29 21:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	-$350	84¢	$0	+$350	10-04 21:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	08-09 18:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+0	$0	88¢	$0	+$0	08-03 20:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$35	80¢	$0	+$35	10-02 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	65	$63.9K	68,650	9,562	+59,087	No	+$1,283	06-04 00:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	31	$51.5K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	10-04 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	66	$33.5K	35,780	35,780	+0	No	+$3,129	06-26 11:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	107	$32.3K	21,232	12,007	+9,224	No	+$490	03-19 21:11
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$29.9K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	Yes	+$40	05-03 11:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	63	$21.9K	22,306	1,746	+20,560	No	+$532	04-30 20:36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	146	$21.8K	26,763	21,712	+5,051	No	+$572	05-16 22:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$21.1K	21,000	1,000	+20,000	Yes	+$60	04-08 20:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	6	$19.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$120	10-29 17:46
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	18	$18.9K	20,329	300	+20,029	Yes	+$1,624	05-16 23:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	240	$18.7K	10,000	9,999	+1	open	—	06-14 07:42
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	112	$15.2K	50,442	49,632	+810	No	+$409	05-16 22:40
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	289	$14.5K	39,639	39,941	-302	No	+$2,043	05-15 17:40
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	43	$14.5K	10,538	10,538	+0	No	+$100	06-22 11:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	16	$14.3K	10,000	5,372	+4,628	open	—	08-24 17:31
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	33	$13.5K	10,031	4,016	+6,015	Yes	+$288	06-16 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	47	$11.6K	18,166	18,166	+0	Yes	-$313	06-14 21:21
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	131	$11.3K	10,639	16,674	-6,035	Yes	+$2,620	03-15 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	46	$11.0K	11,256	11,256	+0	Yes	+$1,382	06-14 21:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	47	$11.0K	9,637	9,637	+0	Yes	+$888	06-14 21:41
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	17	$10.8K	5,482	5,482	+0	No	+$76	10-28 20:17
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?	75	$10.4K	10,611	0	+10,611	No	+$235	06-07 21:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	55	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$47	06-11 18:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$227	04-21 14:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	24	$8.8K	7,311	7,311	+0	No	+$836	06-08 12:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	54	$8.6K	16,211	15,140	+1,070	Yes	-$618	06-14 21:16
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	116	$8.5K	16,289	16,289	+0	Yes	+$2,117	07-07 19:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	24	$8.5K	1,000	9,677	-8,677	open	—	06-07 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$8.5K	6,302	3,554	+2,748	No	+$468	07-01 09:46
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	20	$7.9K	4,072	4,072	+0	open	—	10-29 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:54:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	208	50¢	$104	0xb1a629…
10-29 22:54:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x72dcad…
10-29 22:54:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xa1058b…
10-29 22:54:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x73519b…
10-29 22:54:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0xf2af39…
10-29 22:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x49eb7f…
10-29 22:53:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf17d3e…
10-29 22:53:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	270	50¢	$135	0xfb3444…
10-29 22:08:15	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	SELL	274	70¢	$192	0x977fb1…
10-29 22:08:12	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	SELL	526	70¢	$368	0xf45cfe…
10-29 21:49:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x68bc51…
10-29 21:43:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x206131…
10-29 21:29:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	354	45¢	$159	0x3271fd…
10-29 21:29:45	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x82d44c…
10-29 21:15:31	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x5b498a…
10-29 20:24:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe10855…
10-29 19:13:54	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,283	97¢	$1,247	0x76c976…
10-29 17:52:41	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,789	97¢	$2,713	0x4ffa18…
10-29 17:46:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	5,175	100¢	$5,154	0x4a9b3b…
10-29 17:46:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	4,825	100¢	$4,811	0x948ccf…
10-29 08:51:11	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	81	67¢	$55	0xea9a78…
10-28 21:56:37	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x8b7315…
10-28 20:17:40	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0x2092bb…
10-28 19:54:43	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0x84d89d…
10-28 19:43:23	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	262	97¢	$255	0x471a57…
10-28 19:17:37	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	2,041	100¢	$2,033	0x3c6bf1…
10-28 19:09:55	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1a0592…
10-28 14:56:22	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xfc5927…
10-28 14:38:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	797	99¢	$786	0x053331…
10-28 14:29:46	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1,550	100¢	$1,542	0x127678…
10-28 14:21:17	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	769	99¢	$759	0xdf7499…
10-28 14:20:50	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	1,538	99¢	$1,518	0xeae462…
10-28 14:17:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfe2a26…
10-28 12:42:07	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1,220	99¢	$1,211	0xfc6800…
10-28 10:48:37	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	369	97¢	$356	0xd8fe61…
10-28 10:48:32	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	255	97¢	$247	0xf34c4a…
10-28 10:43:29	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	556	96¢	$536	0x0f95b5…
10-28 10:36:53	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0783ad…
10-28 09:45:41	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x536692…
10-28 02:28:32	Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	85¢	$51	0x9d4929…
10-27 23:32:39	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	4,846	45¢	$2,191	0x2ea3d1…
10-27 23:10:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0xf26c39…
10-27 23:10:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	881	57¢	$502	0x33938f…
10-27 23:10:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0x341476…
10-27 23:10:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x5aaa62…
10-27 23:10:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x5fdb0f…
10-27 23:09:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0x9a2b3d…
10-27 23:09:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	352	57¢	$201	0xa8d2ad…
10-27 23:09:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x32f3ae…
10-27 23:09:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xac8b26…
10-27 23:09:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x897577…
10-27 23:09:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7eaff8…
10-27 23:08:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xeb92da…
10-27 23:08:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x40da6c…
10-27 23:08:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xa1c8c1…
10-27 23:08:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xf4a42c…
10-27 23:08:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfce493…
10-27 23:08:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	162	57¢	$92	0x9d266f…
10-27 22:46:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x956ec0…
10-27 22:45:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xb721af…
10-27 22:36:36	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeb272a…
10-27 22:02:30	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	152	45¢	$69	0xce0b67…
10-27 20:13:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	729	18¢	$131	0xf49d26…
10-27 20:13:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x408f29…
10-27 20:13:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$2	0x4018f0…
10-27 20:13:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x15cb8d…
10-27 20:13:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x09cb46…
10-27 20:07:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xd8d69e…
10-27 20:07:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xf99964…
10-27 20:06:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	22¢	$33	0x2d58a9…
10-27 20:05:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,200	28¢	$336	0x4b0932…
10-27 20:00:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0x0fe101…
10-27 20:00:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0x8976f6…
10-27 19:49:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	98	37¢	$36	0xd58e1f…
10-27 19:49:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0x62baa0…
10-27 19:48:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x23580a…
10-27 19:35:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	44¢	$175	0xbf9042…
10-27 19:17:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,260	74¢	$932	0xad3daf…
10-27 19:10:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xcdeb00…
10-27 19:10:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0x7742eb…
10-27 19:10:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x1afbde…
10-27 19:10:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	201	74¢	$149	0xaa34b8…
10-27 19:01:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x000764…
10-27 10:08:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,000	72¢	$1,440	0x1fe35f…
10-26 22:21:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	350	68¢	$238	0x20c401…
10-26 22:12:53	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	98	90¢	$88	0xb30efe…
10-26 22:12:53	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa547f0…
10-26 22:06:30	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xcf65d6…
10-26 22:06:20	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	57	77¢	$44	0xb6e4c3…
10-26 22:06:20	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	143	77¢	$110	0x5c559f…
10-26 22:00:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	400	56¢	$224	0x6b084e…
10-26 21:33:56	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x9c89fb…
10-26 21:29:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x805ad0…
10-26 21:29:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	64	75¢	$48	0x1ac4f8…
10-26 21:29:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	75¢	$30	0x1dbcac…
10-26 21:27:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xca027f…
10-26 21:27:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	74¢	$20	0x47de48…
10-26 20:47:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x1ae3b7…
10-26 19:54:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	471	77¢	$362	0xa626cd…
10-26 19:54:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x96026c…