Realized P&L (7d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
62
62 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.46K
$2.46K lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$2.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 16:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
48%
Other
45% 100% +$1
Crypto
7% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -334 $-323 96¢ $-322 +$1 05-11 03:39
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -361 $-317 87¢ $-314 +$3 05-11 03:38
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No -270 $-248 94¢ $-255 $-7 05-11 16:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +213 $200 97¢ $207 +$7 05-11 10:41
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +182 $170 92¢ $169 $-1 05-11 05:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +158 $150 94¢ $148 $-2 05-11 10:36
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -133 $-80 90¢ $-119 $-40 05-11 03:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +145 $107 72¢ $105 $-2 05-10 13:56
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -60 $-58 96¢ $-58 $-0 05-11 03:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +52 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 05-11 10:36
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 05-11 10:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +53 $50 94¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:41
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:41
Iran leadership change by May 31? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:26
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? No -34 $-31 90¢ $-31 $-1 05-11 03:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 05-11 10:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-11 10:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 05-11 10:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +25 $25 98¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? No +26 $25 95¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:37
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +20 $14 68¢ $14 +$0 05-11 14:44
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -13 $-11 82¢ $-11 $-0 05-11 03:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36 $-7 19¢ $-7 +$0 05-11 03:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25 $-6 24¢ $-6 $-0 05-11 03:58
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 +$0 05-11 03:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -4 $-2 64¢ $-2 $-0 05-11 04:03