Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
19.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
753
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$408
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-21 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55% 0% $-64
Politics
41% 100% +$21
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +220 $194 86¢ $190 $-3 07-16 02:13
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$2 06-30 04:34
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +100 $89 89¢ $89 $-0 07-19 18:23
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +17 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 07-16 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-12 09:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -400 $-148 $-4 +$144 06-03 19:52
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -30 $-3 12¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 05:21
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +18 $23 $0 $-23 05-16 09:07