Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
19.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
575
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$585
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-01 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-64
Politics
40% 100% +$21
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +300 $234 80¢ $242 +$7 06-15 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -400 $-148 30¢ $-122 +$26 06-03 19:52
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$1 06-30 04:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $81 44¢ $88 +$7 06-28 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $48 99¢ $30 $-18 06-15 08:28
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -30 $-3 18¢ $-6 $-3 06-05 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -500 $-85 $-3 +$81 06-03 19:52
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +18 $23 $0 $-23 05-16 09:07