Appropriate-Cathedral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.0%

Resolved

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-11 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-64

Politics

43% 100% +$21

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$977	5,281	5,635	-355	open	—	04-01 07:31
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	40	$830	866	455	+411	open	—	05-16 10:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$444	350	350	+0	open	—	07-19 19:01
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	11	$437	2,418	980	+1,438	open	—	05-24 12:10
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	13	$428	2,707	2,707	+0	open	—	05-18 18:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	6	$413	314	314	+0	open	—	08-11 01:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$407	220	220	-0	open	—	07-20 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$398	220	690	-470	open	—	06-15 08:28
will lionel messi score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833285	10	$370	403	0	+403	open	—	06-28 03:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	4	$344	356	499	-143	open	—	05-24 08:54
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	4	$341	422	200	+222	open	—	08-02 02:12
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	12	$331	344	100	+244	open	—	05-16 21:44
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	10	$321	400	400	+0	open	—	05-20 01:39
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	2	$321	10,000	11,000	-1,000	open	—	05-22 20:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$312	350	0	+350	open	—	05-24 08:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	13	$301	400	400	+0	open	—	07-20 09:06
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$299	174	180	-6	open	—	05-16 20:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$292	300	2	+298	open	—	06-12 18:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	7	$286	350	350	+0	open	—	08-10 12:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	7	$279	291	291	+0	open	—	08-03 15:10
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	21	$245	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 11:15
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	07-10 14:38
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	17	$210	422	400	+22	open	—	08-03 18:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	1	$209	410	0	+410	open	—	08-11 09:44
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$207	250	0	+250	open	—	05-16 20:05
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$200	250	67	+183	open	—	05-16 11:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 14:21
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	10	$194	300	243	+57	open	—	07-21 18:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$194	220	0	+220	open	—	07-16 02:13
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	3	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	07-30 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:44:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	410	51¢	$209	0x1a8536…
08-11 01:31:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	264	70¢	$185	0x3fb400…
08-10 12:51:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0xb362fb…
08-10 11:26:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xfef399…
08-07 21:38:04	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x03277e…
08-06 06:10:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x432df6…
08-04 11:59:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	67¢	$149	0x27a389…
08-03 18:10:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	108	19¢	$21	0x9d792c…
08-03 18:10:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	92	19¢	$17	0x15529f…
08-03 18:09:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	75	46¢	$34	0x00f998…
08-03 17:47:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x0809d1…
08-03 16:46:00	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xadc166…
08-03 15:17:11	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0xd469b2…
08-03 15:15:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x3ac490…
08-03 15:10:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xac40a2…
08-02 02:12:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x409ffe…
08-01 14:31:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	210	75¢	$158	0x946c24…
07-30 22:47:02	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xd45ce2…
07-30 22:43:36	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xb74138…
07-30 19:53:42	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7f5c6b…
07-30 12:22:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	202	31¢	$63	0xe1980a…
07-29 21:17:26	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$60	0xd369bc…
07-28 22:38:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	67	56¢	$37	0x1e1dd3…
07-28 22:38:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x1e1dd3…
07-28 22:34:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	24	56¢	$14	0x9b03f9…
07-28 20:18:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	67	26¢	$17	0x9d20e2…
07-28 19:27:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0d9312…
07-28 19:02:14	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x5ffad4…
07-28 18:16:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x18cf09…
07-28 18:10:16	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x75b3a8…
07-28 17:46:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x735413…
07-28 16:40:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x81b7e8…
07-28 16:39:22	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x9416a5…
07-28 16:32:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x44dae3…
07-28 16:05:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x50890d…
07-28 16:02:50	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x7f7d85…
07-28 14:59:53	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x00ad17…
07-28 12:20:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x8bd9a8…
07-28 11:03:22	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2f37ce…
07-28 07:37:09	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x754afa…
07-28 06:30:13	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	93	64¢	$59	0x9e6de7…
07-28 04:44:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x5875ba…
07-28 02:45:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x542783…
07-27 19:35:57	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0x348b70…
07-27 17:30:15	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0x7ff776…
07-27 15:21:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0xff3b19…
07-27 15:14:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x404c1a…
07-26 13:25:27	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xdd9c96…
07-24 01:54:39	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	60	56¢	$34	0xd7361f…
07-23 18:37:07	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xcbb0bc…
07-21 18:13:52	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x098dc8…
07-20 09:06:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	36¢	$31	0x2c5a4c…
07-20 07:32:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x195760…
07-20 07:11:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x479988…
07-20 07:08:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	182	91¢	$166	0x58c133…
07-20 06:55:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x0d2c52…
07-20 06:18:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x05e20a…
07-20 06:18:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd284b2…
07-20 06:11:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0488ff…
07-20 06:04:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x8070ed…
07-20 06:00:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xc543e6…
07-20 05:55:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xd02584…
07-20 05:32:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x36d0b2…
07-20 05:31:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x44c534…
07-20 05:29:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa7ce9c…
07-20 05:20:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9f6b42…
07-20 05:19:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xc31276…
07-19 22:25:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x625ecc…
07-19 22:25:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x31fc21…
07-19 22:25:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x1ff309…
07-19 22:25:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc1a440…
07-19 22:24:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x650681…
07-19 22:24:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x383a73…
07-19 22:24:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5e28d3…
07-19 21:30:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xe00898…
07-19 20:11:30	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbe66b…
07-19 20:11:10	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xda19cd…
07-19 20:05:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$17	0x5e34cc…
07-19 19:27:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x57fe49…
07-19 19:01:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	350	51¢	$178	0x015547…
07-19 18:39:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x15741a…
07-19 18:24:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	36¢	$76	0x93a1bd…
07-19 18:23:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x90596e…
07-19 17:09:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xf686c6…
07-19 14:27:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xef4a5f…
07-19 11:15:19	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xe1619b…
07-19 08:24:18	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x50fe68…
07-19 06:31:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x62a8d3…
07-19 05:33:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9a1476…
07-17 07:55:01	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x129792…
07-17 05:43:19	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x81eb33…
07-16 18:36:50	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x522534…
07-16 11:11:08	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd71e13…
07-16 05:34:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x0c223b…
07-16 02:13:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0x67a7fb…
07-15 20:33:23	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8b889e…
07-15 19:26:22	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0x9b26ef…
07-15 18:19:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	220	94¢	$207	0xf226b4…
07-15 18:15:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x19bc24…
07-15 17:47:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xb3206b…