Appropriate-Cathedral 0x70ad3c…a3f1df
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
317
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$33.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$144
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 09-30 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
37% 51% -$1,399
Sports
31% 76% -$475
Politics
30% 51% +$82
Crypto
2% 83% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210 $42 16¢ $34 -$7 07-12 21:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +20 $6 95¢ $19 +$13 08-20 13:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210 $29 8¢ $17 -$11 07-14 23:16
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$2 09-30 05:17
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $9 95¢ $9 $0 08-23 10:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 58¢ $8 -$2 07-15 09:26
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20 $19 34¢ $7 -$12 09-30 05:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +10 $85 64¢ $6 -$79 08-23 09:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 08-23 09:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-23 09:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 -$50 40¢ $4 +$55 09-29 17:23
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5 -$38 74¢ $4 +$42 09-29 22:17
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +4 -$1 86¢ $4 +$5 09-29 17:24
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +4 -$13 55¢ $2 +$15 09-30 05:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2 $3 97¢ $2 -$1 09-29 17:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $48 18¢ $2 -$46 09-30 01:47
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +2 -$77 88¢ $2 +$79 09-07 05:10