Close-Struggle 0x72863e…59559e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
579
lifetime
Volume
$7.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$453
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-13 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 0% $-8
Other
29% — —
Politics
22% 100% +$55
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +230 $120 60¢ $137 +$17 07-09 14:18
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +521 $120 25¢ $128 +$8 07-13 12:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-87 72¢ $-72 +$16 06-15 15:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -41 $-34 84¢ $-34 $-0 07-01 00:53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +82 $21 22¢ $19 $-3 06-21 04:52
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +140 $15 8¢ $11 $-4 06-28 11:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $14 22¢ $11 $-4 06-19 09:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +20 $12 52¢ $10 $-2 06-30 17:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +30 $11 34¢ $10 $-1 07-06 14:05
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +50 $8 15¢ $7 $-1 07-06 21:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +75 $8 8¢ $6 $-2 06-27 01:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $5 58¢ $6 +$1 06-22 12:33
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +41 $2 5¢ $2 +$1 06-26 06:45