Close-Struggle 0x72863e…59559e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
553
lifetime
Volume
$7.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$331
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 0% $-8
Other
28% — —
Politics
21% 100% +$55
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +124 $100 92¢ $114 +$14 06-29 08:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-87 86¢ $-86 +$2 06-15 15:40
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +140 $15 20¢ $29 +$14 06-28 11:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +82 $21 26¢ $21 $-0 06-21 04:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +81 $20 24¢ $20 +$0 06-20 01:17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -20 $-17 82¢ $-17 +$0 06-22 13:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $14 26¢ $13 $-2 06-19 09:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +20 $12 60¢ $12 $-0 06-30 17:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +75 $8 11¢ $8 $-0 06-27 01:00
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +41 $2 14¢ $6 +$4 06-26 06:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$0 06-22 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +160 $23 0¢ $1 $-22 06-19 15:06
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +120 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-15 15:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +20 $9 0¢ $0 $-9 06-19 15:03