Realized P&L
-$12.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.01K
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved
3,189
Trades
47,414
lifetime
Volume
$515.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.19K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-20 21:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
45%
43%
-$5,184
Crypto
31%
48%
-$2,849
Other
23%
35%
-$4,738
Sports
0%
100%
+$10
Tech
0%
67%
-$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -1,728 | -$848 | 93¢ | $-1612 | -$764 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | -831 | -$306 | 94¢ | $-781 | -$475 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | -290 | -$142 | 95¢ | $-276 | -$133 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | -305 | -$67 | 76¢ | $-233 | -$166 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -216 | -$162 | 99¢ | $-213 | -$51 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | -544 | -$381 | 8¢ | $-46 | +$335 | 05-09 13:47 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | -211 | -$55 | 8¢ | $-16 | +$39 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -79 | -$57 | 7¢ | $-6 | +$51 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -266 | -$93 | 2¢ | $-4 | +$89 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | -64 | -$41 | 6¢ | $-4 | +$37 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | -144 | -$13 | 1¢ | $-2 | +$11 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -15 | -$9 | 7¢ | $-1 | +$8 | 05-09 13:48 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -14 | -$10 | 5¢ | $-1 | +$9 | 05-07 08:42 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +1 | $0 | 18¢ | $0 | +$1 | 05-06 10:23 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 457 | $33.6K | 39,943 | 38,369 | +1,574 | Yes | -$1,500 | 04-07 22:03 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 823 | $29.3K | 38,319 | 27,680 | +10,639 | Yes | -$969 | 04-21 16:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 300 | $29.2K | 35,412 | 38,864 | -3,452 | Yes | -$1,204 | 04-07 22:04 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 845 | $26.5K | 39,822 | 31,035 | +8,787 | Yes | -$749 | 04-21 15:57 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 614 | $23.3K | 23,330 | 20,502 | +2,828 | Yes | +$218 | 04-21 16:13 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 210 | $16.5K | 16,600 | 16,926 | -326 | Yes | -$83 | 04-07 21:02 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 376 | $14.2K | 18,045 | 14,317 | +3,727 | Yes | -$967 | 04-21 16:08 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 144 | $11.6K | 11,189 | 10,602 | +587 | Yes | +$20 | 04-07 21:03 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 239 | $10.6K | 11,123 | 10,290 | +833 | No | -$322 | 04-15 05:04 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 275 | $10.3K | 14,632 | 11,787 | +2,844 | Yes | +$267 | 04-21 14:09 |
| cbb ill hou 2026 03 26 | 29 | $6.5K | 5,802 | 7,128 | -1,326 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -$567 | 03-27 03:12 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 42 | $5.9K | 3,973 | 3,475 | +498 | No | -$207 | 04-21 16:52 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 181 | $5.3K | 8,997 | 9,035 | -38 | No | +$156 | 04-13 06:34 |
| elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299 | 281 | $4.4K | 6,862 | 6,847 | +15 | Yes | +$350 | 03-17 15:36 |
| cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27 | 20 | $4.1K | 7,120 | 1,326 | +5,794 | Connecticut Huskies | -$2,258 | 03-28 03:19 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st | 66 | $4.1K | 3,455 | 3,455 | +0 | No | -$36 | 04-20 09:10 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 70 | $3.9K | 4,526 | 3,756 | +770 | Yes | +$22 | 04-20 19:34 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 94 | $3.8K | 3,102 | 3,073 | +29 | Yes | +$2 | 04-28 07:34 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 97 | $3.2K | 3,734 | 3,340 | +394 | No | +$123 | 05-09 13:48 |
| elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279 | 180 | $2.5K | 3,508 | 3,596 | -88 | No | +$114 | 03-17 15:20 |
| elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379 | 294 | $2.5K | 4,194 | 2,503 | +1,691 | Yes | +$1,134 | 03-13 14:58 |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 35 | $2.3K | 2,204 | 2,204 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-31 21:06 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 127 | $2.2K | 2,745 | 2,519 | +226 | Yes | +$133 | 04-30 19:11 |
| elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64 | 46 | $2.2K | 1,505 | 1,036 | +469 | Yes | +$107 | 03-16 15:11 |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 48 | $2.2K | 2,375 | 2,356 | +19 | Yes | -$4 | 03-31 14:08 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 33 | $2.2K | 2,366 | 2,446 | -80 | Yes | -$42 | 03-31 17:52 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | 48 | $2.2K | 2,392 | 2,392 | +0 | PlayTime | +$20 | 05-22 17:25 |
| elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399 | 275 | $2.1K | 5,726 | 3,817 | +1,908 | No | -$385 | 03-13 15:43 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 147 | $2.0K | 1,779 | 1,750 | +29 | Yes | +$2 | 04-24 14:31 |
| elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359 | 213 | $1.9K | 5,516 | 4,470 | +1,046 | No | -$216 | 03-13 14:24 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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