Realized P&L (30d)
-$46
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved (30d)
68
Trades (30d)
191
191 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.37K
$3.37K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.51K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 43% $-46
Other
14%
Tech
0%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,728 $-848 52¢ $-897 $-49 05-09 13:47
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -544 $-381 72¢ $-389 $-8 05-09 13:47
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -831 $-306 37¢ $-307 $-2 05-09 13:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? No -207 $-197 96¢ $-199 $-2 05-09 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -290 $-142 52¢ $-152 $-10 05-09 13:47
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -187 $-140 75¢ $-140 +$0 05-09 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -266 $-93 34¢ $-89 +$4 05-09 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -305 $-67 22¢ $-69 $-2 05-09 13:47
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -79 $-57 70¢ $-55 +$2 05-09 13:48
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -211 $-55 24¢ $-50 +$5 05-09 13:48
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -64 $-41 64¢ $-41 $-0 05-09 13:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +30 $27 93¢ $28 +$1 05-08 20:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -256 $-21 $-19 +$3 05-09 13:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -199 $-14 $-17 $-3 05-09 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -132 $-12 12¢ $-16 $-5 05-09 13:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 05-09 13:48
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-9 68¢ $-10 $-1 05-09 13:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -95 $-6 $-5 +$0 05-09 13:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -8 $-5 56¢ $-4 +$0 05-07 12:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -20 $-3 18¢ $-4 $-0 05-09 13:48
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No -5 $-4 68¢ $-3 +$0 05-09 13:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T Yes -21 $-2 15¢ $-3 $-1 05-09 13:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No -6 $-2 32¢ $-2 +$0 05-09 13:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 $-0 +$2 05-06 10:50