Realized P&L
+$871
Unrealized P&L
+$336
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
543
Trades
2,640
lifetime
Volume
$120.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$4.71K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 10:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Politics
58% 70% +$1,240
Other
32% 58% -$909
Crypto
9% 58% +$731
Sports
1% 65% -$183
Tech
0% 60% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,800 -$990 60¢ $-1089 -$99 06-04 10:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -525 -$480 98¢ $-516 -$35 07-05 00:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +390 $320 98¢ $382 +$62 10-22 16:23
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +231 $200 94¢ $217 +$17 09-13 05:35
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +200 $107 99¢ $199 +$92 10-11 06:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $181 98¢ $197 +$16 05-11 14:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +200 $150 98¢ $196 +$46 10-02 14:53
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +200 $184 98¢ $195 +$11 10-18 17:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +200 $186 98¢ $195 +$9 09-18 10:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $166 92¢ $185 +$19 07-11 00:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $134 82¢ $165 +$31 09-16 00:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $154 70¢ $141 -$13 09-23 12:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +130 $94 86¢ $112 +$18 07-19 06:12
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +100 $88 98¢ $98 +$10 05-27 04:15
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 09-04 08:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +100 $89 96¢ $96 +$6 07-23 17:50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 94¢ $94 +$8 08-24 13:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $82 92¢ $92 +$10 08-22 08:54
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +100 $60 88¢ $88 +$28 06-25 09:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $74 86¢ $86 +$12 08-22 09:34
No one announced as next James Bond? No +98 $79 79¢ $77 -$2 07-27 03:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +100 $48 59¢ $59 +$12 10-03 09:25
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +105 $38 43¢ $45 +$7 09-18 20:27
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$5 07-23 07:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$2 07-14 11:35
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +17 $14 94¢ $16 +$2 10-12 15:38
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +19 $13 74¢ $14 +$1 10-21 12:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 90¢ $9 +$4 05-22 15:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -375 -$60 2¢ $-7 +$54 06-30 07:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$1 06-23 01:53