Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$127
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,472
lifetime
Volume
$72.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$1.84K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 09:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 100% +$7
Other
30%
Crypto
14% 69% +$5
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -900 $-648 82¢ $-733 $-85 06-04 10:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -375 $-338 90¢ $-339 $-2 07-05 00:40
Obama arrested before 2027? No -200 $-198 96¢ $-192 +$6 06-29 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +144 $105 88¢ $126 +$21 06-11 14:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -100 $-116 100¢ $-100 +$17 06-08 16:00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -100 $-98 94¢ $-94 +$3 06-14 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $54 28¢ $84 +$30 07-03 16:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +400 $83 16¢ $66 $-17 07-04 03:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -375 $-60 10¢ $-36 +$25 06-30 07:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-64 30¢ $-30 +$34 07-02 09:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $26 27¢ $27 +$1 07-05 09:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 06-15 19:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-23 01:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-13 10:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -200 $160 $-0 $-160 06-30 15:06