Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$108
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,059
lifetime
Volume
$49.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$1.30K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$7
Other
34%
Crypto
18% 69% +$5
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -900 $-648 72¢ $-652 $-4 06-04 10:32
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +200 $175 91¢ $182 +$7 06-10 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +144 $105 84¢ $121 +$15 06-11 14:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$6 06-11 13:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -100 $-116 97¢ $-97 +$20 06-08 16:00
Obama arrested before 2027? No +76 $71 93¢ $70 $-1 06-13 08:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +100 $62 64¢ $64 +$2 06-13 16:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -93 $-72 10¢ $-9 +$63 06-07 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-2 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 09:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 10:19