(anonymous) 0x77fbd6…de266c
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$7.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$18.1K
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved (30d)
81
Trades (30d)
1,175
3,943 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$599.3K
$3.25M lifetime
Avg / trade
$825
Open exposure
$388.7K
29 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-29 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
69% 66% +$27,064
Other
28% 56% +$18,918
Tech
3% 50% -$80
Sports
0% 0% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +266,554 $243,639 94¢ $249.2K +$5,588 10-23 18:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +51,300 $47,048 92¢ $47.5K +$404 10-29 00:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +34,547 $29,055 89¢ $30.7K +$1,692 10-17 23:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +19,956 $14,884 82¢ $16.4K +$1,480 10-25 19:51
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14,058 $12,190 91¢ $12.8K +$603 10-26 09:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +12,854 $8,364 97¢ $12.5K +$4,098 10-24 13:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,000 $6,812 71¢ $10.7K +$3,838 10-26 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13,000 $6,676 42¢ $5.5K -$1,164 10-21 01:39
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +937 $537 71¢ $665 +$128 10-14 12:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,982 $239 15¢ $577 +$338 10-06 06:27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $100 2¢ $390 +$290 09-22 15:38
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,300 $247 22¢ $286 +$39 09-25 19:04
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $255 21¢ $277 +$22 09-25 17:59
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,000 $208 2¢ $264 +$56 10-06 10:35
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $200 2¢ $250 +$50 09-25 15:24
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $150 0¢ $175 +$25 10-04 16:09
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,028 $95 0¢ $105 +$10 10-27 17:51
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,715 $93 1¢ $89 -$4 10-29 01:33
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,404 $152 0¢ $89 -$64 10-04 16:58
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $95 2¢ $82 -$12 10-03 21:07
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $135 2¢ $80 -$55 09-25 04:21
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,652 $58 1¢ $72 +$14 10-24 13:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,741 $44 3¢ $60 +$17 09-27 18:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +46 $23 42¢ $20 -$3 10-10 21:05
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,134 $10 0¢ $18 +$8 10-18 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 10-20 05:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 -$222 82¢ $0 +$222 10-25 18:19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$500 92¢ $0 +$500 10-13 06:52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 10-03 00:24