(anonymous) 0x77fbd6…de266c
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$18.8K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
256
4,047 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$590.3K
$3.73M lifetime
Avg / trade
$923
Open exposure
$382.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-31 07:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
72% 66% +$27,063
Other
25% 58% +$18,955
Tech
3% 50% -$80
Sports
0% 0% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +303,800 $281,873 94¢ $287.1K +$5,218 10-29 15:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +34,547 $29,055 89¢ $30.7K +$1,692 10-17 23:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +19,956 $14,884 80¢ $16.1K +$1,181 10-25 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +16,554 $8,639 96¢ $15.8K +$7,169 10-29 13:59
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14,058 $12,190 87¢ $12.2K +$41 10-26 09:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,000 $6,812 70¢ $10.6K +$3,763 10-26 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13,000 $6,676 42¢ $5.5K -$1,222 10-21 01:39
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +937 $537 82¢ $763 +$227 10-14 12:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,982 $239 16¢ $617 +$378 10-06 06:27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $100 2¢ $390 +$290 09-22 15:38
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,923 $258 2¢ $331 +$73 10-30 16:30
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $255 24¢ $307 +$53 09-25 17:59
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,300 $247 24¢ $305 +$58 09-25 19:04
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $200 2¢ $250 +$50 09-25 15:24
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $200 0¢ $175 -$25 10-29 17:05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $150 0¢ $175 +$25 10-04 16:09
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $141 1¢ $150 +$9 10-29 17:04
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,404 $152 0¢ $124 -$28 10-04 16:58
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,075 $112 2¢ $106 -$6 10-30 16:24
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,028 $95 0¢ $105 +$10 10-27 17:51
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $135 2¢ $88 -$47 09-25 04:21
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $70 0¢ $70 +$0 10-29 17:12
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,741 $44 4¢ $64 +$20 09-27 18:25
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,715 $93 1¢ $50 -$42 10-29 01:33
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $60 0¢ $50 -$10 10-29 17:13
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:23
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:25
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:24
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:24
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +46 $23 43¢ $20 -$3 10-10 21:05