(anonymous) 0x77fbd6…de266c
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$26.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.9K
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved (90d)
123
Trades (90d)
3,497
3,916 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.05M
$3.46M lifetime
Avg / trade
$883
Open exposure
$390.3K
29 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-29 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
73% 66% +$27,064
Other
25% 58% +$18,955
Tech
3% 50% -$80
Sports
0% 0% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +303,800 $281,873 93¢ $282.5K +$661 10-29 15:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +34,547 $29,055 89¢ $30.7K +$1,692 10-17 23:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +19,956 $14,884 83¢ $16.6K +$1,680 10-25 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +16,554 $8,639 94¢ $15.5K +$6,838 10-29 13:59
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14,058 $12,190 91¢ $12.8K +$603 10-26 09:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +12,854 $8,364 97¢ $12.5K +$4,137 10-24 13:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,000 $6,812 70¢ $10.6K +$3,763 10-26 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13,000 $6,676 43¢ $5.6K -$1,092 10-21 01:39
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +937 $537 72¢ $674 +$138 10-14 12:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,982 $239 14¢ $538 +$299 10-06 06:27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $100 2¢ $380 +$280 09-22 15:38
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $255 22¢ $292 +$38 09-25 17:59
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,300 $247 22¢ $292 +$45 09-25 19:04
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,000 $208 2¢ $264 +$56 10-06 10:35
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $200 3¢ $255 +$55 09-25 15:24
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $150 0¢ $175 +$25 10-04 16:09
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,028 $95 0¢ $105 +$10 10-27 17:51
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,715 $93 1¢ $89 -$4 10-29 01:33
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,404 $152 0¢ $89 -$64 10-04 16:58
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $135 2¢ $88 -$47 09-25 04:21
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $95 2¢ $82 -$12 10-03 21:07
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,652 $58 1¢ $72 +$14 10-24 13:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,741 $44 4¢ $64 +$20 09-27 18:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +46 $23 44¢ $20 -$3 10-10 21:05
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,134 $10 0¢ $18 +$8 10-18 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 73¢ $0 +$0 10-20 05:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 -$222 84¢ $0 +$222 10-25 18:19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$500 92¢ $0 +$500 10-13 06:52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 10-03 00:24