Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$8.55K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
39
4,783 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$421
$4.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$840
Open exposure
$97.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-09 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Politics
73% 64% +$72,074
Other
25% 52% +$18,362
Tech
2% 50% -$80
Sports
0% 0% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +34,547 $29,055 90¢ $30.9K +$1,865 10-17 23:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +73,243 $42,028 32¢ $23.8K -$18,224 11-06 15:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +13,312 $8,924 98¢ $13.0K +$4,115 11-09 00:51
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14,058 $12,190 90¢ $12.6K +$392 10-26 09:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +12,423 $8,405 86¢ $10.6K +$2,217 11-08 07:29
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? Yes +802 $689 99¢ $795 +$105 09-26 07:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,500 -$13 4¢ $581 +$594 11-07 00:06
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $276 2¢ $490 +$214 10-31 13:24
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +83,685 $335 1¢ $460 +$126 11-05 16:19
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,041 $334 4¢ $407 +$73 11-04 19:08
Will James Li win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election? Yes +321 $309 98¢ $316 +$7 11-08 14:23
Will Nelson Pohl win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election? Yes +325 $312 97¢ $315 +$3 11-08 14:22
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $200 3¢ $285 +$85 09-25 15:24
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +43,838 $150 1¢ $241 +$91 11-02 13:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,288 $318 4¢ $236 -$83 11-05 16:26
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41,784 $293 1¢ $230 -$63 11-04 14:01
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +41,213 $124 1¢ $227 +$103 11-04 13:20
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? No +497 $219 40¢ $197 -$22 11-06 15:21
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $225 2¢ $185 -$40 11-04 18:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $150 0¢ $175 +$25 10-04 16:09
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $100 0¢ $175 +$75 11-09 19:55
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $140 1¢ $170 +$30 11-05 06:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +477 $266 34¢ $164 -$103 11-06 16:08
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? Yes +2,499 $350 6¢ $162 -$187 11-08 17:34
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $50 0¢ $150 +$100 10-29 17:26
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +52,374 $186 0¢ $131 -$55 11-09 22:12
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $70 1¢ $130 +$60 10-29 17:12
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $175 1¢ $110 -$65 11-01 04:47
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +100 $84 98¢ $98 +$14 10-01 16:52
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,715 $93 1¢ $89 -$4 10-29 01:33