(anonymous) 0x77fbd6…de266c
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.7K
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
126
Trades
4,025
lifetime
Volume
$3.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$925
Open exposure
$391.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-30 01:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
73% 66% +$27,063
Other
25% 58% +$18,955
Tech
3% 50% -$80
Sports
0% 0% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +303,800 $281,873 94¢ $284.1K +$2,180 10-29 15:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +34,547 $29,055 90¢ $31.3K +$2,211 10-17 23:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +19,956 $14,884 82¢ $16.5K +$1,580 10-25 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +16,554 $8,639 94¢ $15.5K +$6,838 10-29 13:59
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14,058 $12,190 89¢ $12.5K +$322 10-26 09:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,854 $7,393 97¢ $11.5K +$4,124 10-29 17:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,000 $6,812 72¢ $10.8K +$3,988 10-26 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13,000 $6,676 41¢ $5.3K -$1,391 10-21 01:39
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +937 $537 70¢ $660 +$124 10-14 12:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,982 $239 15¢ $597 +$358 10-06 06:27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $100 2¢ $370 +$270 09-22 15:38
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,560 $252 2¢ $325 +$73 10-30 01:10
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $255 23¢ $299 +$44 09-25 17:59
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,300 $247 22¢ $292 +$45 09-25 19:04
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $200 3¢ $255 +$55 09-25 15:24
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $200 0¢ $175 -$25 10-29 17:05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $150 0¢ $175 +$25 10-04 16:09
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $141 1¢ $150 +$9 10-29 17:04
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,404 $152 0¢ $124 -$28 10-04 16:58
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,028 $95 0¢ $105 +$10 10-27 17:51
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,031 $111 2¢ $103 -$9 10-30 01:13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $135 2¢ $98 -$38 09-25 04:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,715 $93 1¢ $89 -$4 10-29 01:33
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $70 0¢ $70 +$0 10-29 17:12
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,741 $44 4¢ $63 +$19 09-27 18:25
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $60 0¢ $50 -$10 10-29 17:13
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:25
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:24
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:23
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 10-29 17:24