Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
15
Trades
52
lifetime
Volume
$244
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$83
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52% 33% $-12
Sports
23% 58% +$3
Politics
22%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +186 $13 $12 $-1 05-12 12:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +210 $13 $9 $-3 05-12 12:52
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes +23 $5 30¢ $7 +$2 05-12 23:52
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes -14 $-4 42¢ $-6 $-2 05-12 21:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +214 $18 $6 $-12 05-12 14:07
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $6 48¢ $6 $-0 05-13 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +18 $6 30¢ $6 $-1 05-12 14:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-12 23:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +22 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 05-12 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +39 $7 12¢ $5 $-2 05-12 12:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 42¢ $4 +$0 05-11 23:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -47 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-12 23:50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Casper Ruud +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 05-13 00:13
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes -17 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$1 05-11 23:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Yes -5 $-2 46¢ $-2 +$0 05-13 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-11 17:34