Funny-Apology-Baker 0x78d7fe…fe291d
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
43.7%
Resolved (24h)
9
Trades (24h)
30
72 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$184
$381 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$163
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 20:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 33% $-12
Politics
22% — —
Sports
22% 58% +$3
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes -52 $-13 24¢ $-13 +$0 05-13 20:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +186 $13 6¢ $12 $-1 05-12 12:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +210 $13 4¢ $9 $-3 05-12 12:52
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Yes +49 $8 16¢ $8 $-0 05-13 20:32
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Spurs -12 $-8 64¢ $-8 $-0 05-13 20:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-7 38¢ $-7 $-0 05-13 20:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-8 34¢ $-7 +$0 05-13 20:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Rafael Jodar +10 $7 66¢ $7 $-0 05-13 13:48
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers Arizona Diamondbacks -12 $-6 50¢ $-6 $-0 05-13 20:23
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals -12 $-6 50¢ $-6 $-0 05-13 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +18 $6 32¢ $6 $-0 05-12 14:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +214 $18 3¢ $6 $-12 05-12 14:07
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes +23 $5 24¢ $5 +$1 05-12 23:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +40 $8 14¢ $5 $-2 05-13 20:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $6 46¢ $5 $-0 05-13 12:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 05-12 23:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +22 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 05-12 14:53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN -11 $-4 44¢ $-5 $-1 05-13 20:12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -9 $-5 50¢ $-4 +$0 05-13 20:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 43¢ $4 +$1 05-11 23:51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -7 $-4 60¢ $-4 $-0 05-13 20:23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -17 $-6 23¢ $-4 +$2 05-13 17:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Casper Ruud +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 05-13 00:13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16? Yes -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 $-0 05-13 20:23
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Chicago Cubs -6 $-3 56¢ $-3 $-0 05-13 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -47 $-3 6¢ $-3 +$0 05-12 23:50
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes -17 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$1 05-11 23:36
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Yes -5 $-2 40¢ $-2 +$0 05-13 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-11 17:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-0 55¢ $-1 $-0 05-13 20:27