Realized P&L (7d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved (7d)
45
Trades (7d)
193
193 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.33K
$1.33K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$477
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-15 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
49% 50% $-14
Crypto
20% 33% +$13
Sports
16% 67% +$19
Politics
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15? No -76 $-28 92¢ $-70 $-42 05-14 20:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +187 $16 35¢ $65 +$49 05-15 00:40
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs 9z +69 $44 62¢ $43 $-1 05-14 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +175 $32 22¢ $39 +$8 05-14 22:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes -61 $-17 30¢ $-18 $-1 05-14 01:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +75 $16 24¢ $18 +$3 05-14 20:54
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Spurs +25 $17 66¢ $16 $-0 05-14 19:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -24 $-16 68¢ $-16 $-0 05-14 11:50
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys Quentin Halys +15 $14 91¢ $14 $-0 05-14 21:47
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Yes -61 $-9 20¢ $-12 $-3 05-14 01:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? Yes -90 $-9 14¢ $-12 $-3 05-14 12:15
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Yes -76 $-12 16¢ $-12 $-0 05-15 06:19
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 Over -36 $-12 34¢ $-12 $-0 05-15 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? Up -70 $-12 16¢ $-12 +$0 05-15 06:09
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? Yes +27 $10 38¢ $11 +$0 05-14 02:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? Yes -51 $-9 20¢ $-10 $-2 05-14 11:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +186 $13 $10 $-3 05-12 12:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +210 $13 $9 $-3 05-12 12:52
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No -9 $-7 94¢ $-9 $-2 05-13 22:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 $-7 39¢ $-8 $-0 05-13 20:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $8 +$0 05-14 04:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +17 $7 44¢ $7 +$0 05-14 00:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -9 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-0 05-14 13:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-8 32¢ $-7 +$0 05-13 20:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +214 $18 $5 $-12 05-12 14:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +18 $6 29¢ $5 $-1 05-12 14:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 05-12 23:53
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? No +15 $5 34¢ $5 +$1 05-14 13:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -8 $-2 62¢ $-5 $-3 05-14 06:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +22 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 05-12 14:53