Funny-Apology-Baker 0x78d7fe…fe291d
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved (30d)
15
Trades (30d)
54
54 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$259
$259 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$94
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 15:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52% 33% $-12
Politics
24% — —
Sports
22% 58% +$3
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +94 $15 14¢ $13 $-2 05-13 15:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +186 $13 6¢ $12 $-1 05-12 12:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +210 $13 4¢ $9 $-3 05-12 12:52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Rafael Jodar +10 $7 66¢ $7 $-0 05-13 13:48
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes +23 $5 26¢ $6 +$1 05-12 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +18 $6 32¢ $6 $-0 05-12 14:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +214 $18 3¢ $6 $-12 05-12 14:07
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $6 48¢ $6 $-0 05-13 12:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-12 23:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +22 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 05-12 14:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 44¢ $4 +$1 05-11 23:51
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes -14 $-4 26¢ $-4 +$0 05-12 21:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Casper Ruud +4 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 05-13 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -47 $-3 6¢ $-3 +$0 05-12 23:50
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes -17 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$1 05-11 23:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-11 17:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Yes -5 $-2 38¢ $-2 +$0 05-13 12:28