Realistic-Chef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-31 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

37% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$30	25	27	-2	open	—	02-18 01:42
Trump out as President by May 31?	13	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 07:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 06:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	10	$11	5	6	-1	open	—	06-15 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-15 04:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-21 04:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
US military draft authorized in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 06:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 02:05
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-29 08:54
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-31 03:50
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 07:00
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 04:41
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 08:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:55
will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 04:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:13
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:09
will russia enter borova by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 06:29
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:50:03	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc8629f…
07-31 03:49:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde3d62…
07-31 03:34:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76d5e5…
07-31 03:33:08	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc01e6…
07-30 07:00:36	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeee7a0…
07-30 06:59:54	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6a96f3…
07-30 06:18:24	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x17a7b4…
07-30 06:17:15	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf78d44…
07-29 08:55:00	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf22977…
07-29 08:54:12	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa6e5f…
07-28 06:20:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x38d977…
07-28 06:20:09	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef2342…
07-28 03:59:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc15f74…
07-28 03:58:12	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5fa042…
07-27 10:02:25	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe951e6…
07-27 09:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2df173…
07-25 07:35:31	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcccf90…
07-25 07:34:58	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf22cd…
07-25 07:11:18	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe5e411…
07-25 07:09:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c4ef2…
07-24 09:02:33	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x703fc3…
07-24 09:01:57	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee560c…
07-24 08:35:36	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e4110…
07-24 08:34:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0760dd…
07-23 07:02:54	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6ab1ac…
07-23 07:02:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7d7464…
07-23 06:40:21	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6d52a…
07-23 06:39:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1fd36…
07-22 10:26:21	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x469cfc…
07-22 10:10:22	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11da6b…
07-21 04:55:09	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1c225e…
07-21 04:54:42	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x872b2d…
07-21 03:46:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x348146…
07-21 03:44:54	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x964b0d…
07-20 07:37:52	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8e2d1…
07-20 07:37:27	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x29bc81…
07-20 07:17:54	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x090912…
07-20 07:16:43	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b371e…
07-18 06:35:39	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa35c91…
07-18 06:34:57	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x97a2dc…
07-18 04:44:18	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec2aa3…
07-18 04:43:30	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb30548…
07-17 02:57:00	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x15f9a5…
07-17 02:56:25	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b9586…
07-17 02:43:48	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x647bb1…
07-17 02:43:03	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06cc5c…
07-16 02:09:47	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc8b332…
07-16 02:09:22	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x92c17c…
07-16 01:59:29	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22eb49…
07-16 01:58:35	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3b4f55…
07-15 04:41:44	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4e451…
07-15 04:41:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb587c7…
07-15 04:25:04	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fced8…
07-15 04:23:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f8d61…
07-14 03:15:35	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9fe16d…
07-14 03:15:07	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf6653…
07-14 03:02:46	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x52cf42…
07-14 03:02:05	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42f7a0…
07-13 07:49:56	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x07c14f…
07-13 07:49:05	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93d761…
07-13 07:21:53	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x310970…
07-13 07:21:17	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f4f31…
07-11 06:54:04	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b7356…
07-11 06:53:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13a451…
07-11 06:29:19	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x713ccf…
07-11 06:28:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b27a6…
07-10 04:37:02	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x95b538…
07-10 04:34:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6844e4…
07-10 03:32:46	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x261636…
07-10 03:32:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b0ee6…
07-09 02:09:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3adb0…
07-09 02:09:02	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b2ed7…
07-09 02:00:40	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8e05c…
07-09 01:59:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda5e98…
07-08 03:46:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x424c55…
07-08 03:26:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d9146…
07-07 03:07:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x746571…
07-07 03:07:23	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc608d4…
07-07 02:53:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x198e03…
07-07 02:52:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1321f4…
07-06 06:08:31	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdcc70d…
07-06 03:55:13	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2021d5…
07-04 02:59:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4acb4a…
07-04 02:59:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9602d4…
07-04 02:44:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a79df…
07-04 02:43:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd51ec…
07-03 08:04:32	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x81b258…
07-03 08:04:08	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4c14d7…
07-03 07:53:37	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79a2ac…
07-03 07:52:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1788c4…
07-02 04:23:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x06a791…
07-02 04:21:32	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed74dd…
07-02 04:10:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f3a4a…
07-02 04:07:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeab689…
07-01 02:30:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd11b89…
07-01 02:14:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcf5ea…
06-30 04:39:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3a6ece…
06-30 04:38:29	will the announcers say emotion during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058845	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b6170…
06-30 03:48:17	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4e901…
06-29 10:15:59	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd68b23…