Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
41
Trades
2,622
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$45
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 07-04 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% +$16
Other
28% 59% +$6
Crypto
6%
Tech
5%
Sports
5% 17% $-9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 88¢ $-9 $-2 06-07 13:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 06-30 03:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $8 32¢ $6 $-1 07-01 13:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$1 07-03 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-30 03:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 50¢ $5 +$4 06-23 16:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 13:53
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -18 $-6 14¢ $-2 +$3 06-23 18:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-03 07:22
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:48