Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
41
Trades
2,523
lifetime
Volume
$12.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$49
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-09 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% +$16
Other
28% 59% +$6
Crypto
6%
Tech
5%
Sports
5% 17% $-9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 05-31 15:40
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No -8 $-8 90¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 13:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 75¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 13:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +15 $7 47¢ $7 $-0 06-03 11:36
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 04:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-31 12:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 72¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 13:53
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 13:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 06-03 07:22
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -12 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:54