Unsteady-Blade 0x86f7db…54f459
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$395
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
52.4%
Resolved
509
Trades
3,092
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$139
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 09-27 08:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Politics
55% 38% -$356
Other
29% 54% +$16
Crypto
6% 29% -$5
Sports
5% 42% -$28
Tech
5% 58% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -19 -$10 97¢ $-18 -$8 05-19 19:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -11 -$4 97¢ $-10 -$6 05-02 15:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-04 04:09
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -12 -$7 81¢ $-10 -$3 04-28 15:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$1 04-30 05:34
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$1 05-03 20:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 05-06 10:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -12 -$8 78¢ $-9 -$2 05-19 19:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 -$6 85¢ $-9 -$3 04-28 15:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -8 -$6 95¢ $-8 -$2 05-11 07:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$5 96¢ $-8 -$2 06-07 13:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 -$6 80¢ $-7 -$1 04-29 20:31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -5 -$5 90¢ $-5 +$0 09-27 08:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -14 -$4 26¢ $-4 +$1 05-14 03:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -5 -$3 60¢ $-3 +$0 05-19 19:00
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -12 -$7 16¢ $-2 +$5 05-07 02:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$3 9¢ $-2 +$1 05-19 19:00
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 06-01 17:26
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -29 -$6 5¢ $-1 +$5 05-19 19:00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 68¢ $-1 $0 05-15 16:14
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-13 09:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $8 3¢ $1 -$7 07-01 13:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$5 4¢ $-0 +$4 05-13 07:38
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -3 -$2 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-19 19:03
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -17 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-15 14:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No -0 $0 66¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 16:02