Slim-Pledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$405

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-31 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

38% 50% $-1

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	27	$28	23	25	-2	open	—	02-18 01:47
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 07:46
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 06:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	10	$11	5	6	-1	open	—	06-15 07:43
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-21 04:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-15 04:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
US military draft authorized in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 06:34
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-29 08:54
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$5	5	7	-2	Yes	$-1	01-16 09:01
will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-31 03:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 07:00
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 04:41
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:48
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 08:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:55
will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 04:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:15
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:09
will russia enter borova by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 06:29
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:49:57	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa95658…
07-31 03:49:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc10ab…
07-31 03:34:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f61d1…
07-31 03:33:05	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa02f15…
07-30 07:00:32	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6939ba…
07-30 06:59:48	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23b603…
07-30 06:18:20	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2569e4…
07-30 06:17:15	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76aa24…
07-29 08:54:56	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x45c20f…
07-29 08:54:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe83d71…
07-28 06:20:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c11bb…
07-28 06:20:06	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f0f66…
07-28 03:59:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x61eeae…
07-28 03:58:03	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ccbec…
07-27 10:02:21	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x690137…
07-27 09:39:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5201fb…
07-25 07:35:27	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x36fc24…
07-25 07:34:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9613a3…
07-25 07:11:13	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x625ab5…
07-25 07:09:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7cc216…
07-24 09:02:28	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7a34bd…
07-24 09:01:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38c36d…
07-24 08:35:33	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a363e…
07-24 08:34:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9df570…
07-23 07:02:51	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x332dd5…
07-23 07:02:09	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b94b7…
07-23 06:40:15	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x631400…
07-23 06:39:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x819ca2…
07-22 10:26:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x58f233…
07-22 10:10:18	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x414c41…
07-21 04:54:34	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5b1fe8…
07-21 03:44:21	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cc5cc…
07-21 03:44:15	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeff98a…
07-20 07:37:46	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7ab8c4…
07-20 07:37:21	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a3221…
07-20 07:18:18	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc583e…
07-20 07:16:39	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd29cfc…
07-18 06:35:34	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe48544…
07-18 06:34:49	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xae18f7…
07-18 04:44:12	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5a722d…
07-18 04:43:27	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5570a5…
07-17 02:56:55	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x31a661…
07-17 02:56:19	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x48e6b2…
07-17 02:43:37	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb884a4…
07-17 02:42:58	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73ecd1…
07-16 02:09:44	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6dd7eb…
07-16 02:09:16	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8aa49f…
07-16 01:59:25	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8e5426…
07-16 01:58:32	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcee40e…
07-15 04:41:38	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x772c8b…
07-15 04:40:53	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c9c83…
07-15 04:24:59	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf18530…
07-15 04:23:50	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3ce68…
07-14 03:15:32	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfbaabd…
07-14 03:15:04	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb921bb…
07-14 03:02:43	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2c96dc…
07-14 03:01:59	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea00d6…
07-13 07:49:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x524d62…
07-13 07:49:01	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22b607…
07-13 07:21:49	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19aa51…
07-13 07:21:08	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc624aa…
07-11 06:53:58	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbeb4dc…
07-11 06:53:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ada74…
07-11 06:30:07	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0106a0…
07-11 06:28:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9d4b5b…
07-10 04:36:50	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x139691…
07-10 04:34:29	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd8abcc…
07-10 03:32:46	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6e2de…
07-10 03:31:56	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa6d814…
07-09 02:09:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x134805…
07-09 02:08:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f9e61…
07-09 02:00:28	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf400b…
07-09 01:59:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd863d6…
07-08 03:46:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1072b1…
07-08 03:26:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb2e4e5…
07-07 03:07:58	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3437b7…
07-07 03:07:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff9f5d…
07-07 02:53:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a65ab…
07-07 02:52:53	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31797a…
07-06 06:08:26	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe48826…
07-06 03:55:11	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb7188e…
07-04 02:59:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x742713…
07-04 02:59:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc4aeb2…
07-04 02:44:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bf310…
07-04 02:43:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67a7a5…
07-03 08:04:28	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa176df…
07-03 08:04:04	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0d1d16…
07-03 07:53:34	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc11dea…
07-03 07:52:26	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x15f3b3…
07-02 04:23:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07f3db…
07-02 04:21:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3ac20…
07-02 04:10:02	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3faf5…
07-02 04:07:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1994f4…
07-01 02:30:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ffaea…
07-01 02:14:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce3021…
06-30 04:39:02	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa2b8ef…
06-30 04:38:13	will the announcers say emotion during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058845	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2295d1…
06-30 03:48:16	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0599ee…
06-29 10:15:59	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x30eaee…
06-29 10:15:26	will the ethereum volatility index hit 90 by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5171c8…