(anonymous) 0x9ccc56…e18453
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$112
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$45
27 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-26 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55% — —
Politics
41% — —
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +160 $8 4¢ $6 -$2 10-26 16:28
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +160 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 10-24 13:14
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 10-24 13:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +160 $4 2¢ $2 -$1 10-24 13:12
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-24 11:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +40 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 10-24 11:40
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:40
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:40
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:39
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:40
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +40 $1 4¢ $2 +$0 10-24 11:39
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:39
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +41 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 13:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-24 11:40
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:45
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:41
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:40
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:41
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-24 11:41
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:39
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:39
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:41