Wise-Diffuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,229 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.96K

$30.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$71

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Sports

33% 46% +$22

Other

32% 43% -$28

Politics

29% 46% -$1

Crypto

6% 68% +$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?	No	+25	$24	99¢	$24	$0	11-01 02:16
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	No	+25	$24	99¢	$24	+$0	11-01 13:10
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	No	+23	$23	99¢	$23	+$0	11-01 13:22
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-29 05:01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	07-18 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	34	$1.0K	518	518	+0	No	$0	10-14 07:06
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	37	$860	439	439	+0	No	$0	07-07 17:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	28	$822	414	414	+0	No	$0	10-16 03:27
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	32	$806	408	408	+0	No	$0	06-30 06:33
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$778	380	406	-26	No	-$1	07-11 20:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	29	$761	389	389	+0	open	—	10-26 21:18
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$758	386	386	+0	No	-$1	07-06 06:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	24	$718	363	363	-0	No	-$1	09-04 05:58
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$707	374	345	+29	No	+$0	07-10 19:57
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$693	353	353	+0	No	+$0	06-29 19:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	24	$622	313	313	+0	open	—	10-31 02:01
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$576	292	292	+0	No	$0	09-30 21:57
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$571	292	292	+0	No	$0	07-03 21:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	22	$551	282	282	+0	open	—	10-31 11:07
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$548	279	279	+0	No	$0	07-04 08:10
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	21	$528	270	270	+0	No	+$0	10-26 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	17	$479	241	241	+0	No	$0	09-26 03:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	14	$366	185	185	+0	open	—	10-27 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	15	$354	179	179	+0	No	$0	09-06 00:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$352	177	177	+0	No	$0	08-16 21:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	12	$350	176	176	+0	No	+$0	10-29 08:20
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	15	$325	178	149	+29	No	+$0	10-06 11:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$290	149	149	+0	open	—	10-24 23:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	11	$288	145	145	+0	No	$0	10-20 20:05
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$246	123	123	+0	No	+$0	10-16 14:13
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	10	$245	123	123	+0	No	$0	08-14 12:33
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$242	122	122	+0	No	$0	06-08 07:22
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	38	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	10-06 01:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	9	$233	118	118	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:47
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$230	117	117	+0	open	—	10-21 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:22:39	Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1dbdb2…
11-01 13:10:24	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x2fb4fd…
11-01 09:15:54	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xeff591…
11-01 07:35:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x4fb53a…
11-01 02:17:04	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x300af2…
11-01 02:16:33	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x75a520…
10-31 23:35:39	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1b263a…
10-31 23:16:00	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x3d0959…
10-31 21:41:42	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa04e37…
10-31 16:55:12	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x109f50…
10-31 14:56:21	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa58e47…
10-31 14:55:01	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xabbde2…
10-31 14:48:52	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x577bc1…
10-31 11:56:25	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x67e342…
10-31 11:07:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x80c5ab…
10-31 08:14:01	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc43985…
10-31 07:25:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x70c1f0…
10-31 04:40:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x261a8a…
10-31 02:01:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xcf7402…
10-30 21:05:31	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1783e5…
10-30 20:48:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xb87a25…
10-30 19:22:19	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x3266b8…
10-30 18:17:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x67ddc9…
10-30 17:14:37	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe45871…
10-30 15:20:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb812f4…
10-30 15:10:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x18333c…
10-30 14:23:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x368d5d…
10-30 11:37:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2243dc…
10-30 11:03:25	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x17a7eb…
10-30 11:03:24	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x877966…
10-30 09:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x458240…
10-30 06:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x3b37bd…
10-30 05:28:31	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xcec16c…
10-30 00:36:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x831ea1…
10-29 22:40:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x226a0a…
10-29 21:24:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xf4cc9f…
10-29 20:20:27	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x66d5cc…
10-29 16:49:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf1c759…
10-29 13:21:49	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3a953c…
10-29 12:38:41	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x83fc73…
10-29 12:28:58	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c6f0b…
10-29 12:19:01	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa80427…
10-29 09:27:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x4b5693…
10-29 08:20:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x030c18…
10-29 05:01:32	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6c390…
10-29 05:00:17	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9f5ef9…
10-29 04:23:59	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5769fe…
10-29 03:57:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x8a99f9…
10-29 03:25:47	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0a0522…
10-29 03:21:14	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a609a…
10-29 03:09:37	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xab0d48…
10-29 02:47:08	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37d7b1…
10-29 02:23:53	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x18d3e7…
10-28 20:59:07	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2ee24d…
10-28 20:59:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd31204…
10-28 15:07:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x6072b7…
10-28 10:50:43	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbcbd72…
10-28 09:49:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x1c2b9c…
10-28 09:35:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5e36b7…
10-28 06:54:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xbeee3a…
10-28 06:54:04	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x6c0640…
10-28 03:21:34	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x313335…
10-27 21:43:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x940ced…
10-27 20:37:47	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xfb1eb1…
10-27 18:51:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x2eff52…
10-27 17:53:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbec5e6…
10-27 15:06:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa341c9…
10-27 15:06:24	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x7606aa…
10-27 13:18:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd50b3b…
10-27 09:35:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x072ed1…
10-27 09:23:08	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x680877…
10-27 09:02:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xefba67…
10-27 06:50:45	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x345002…
10-26 23:05:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9b6457…
10-26 21:52:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xd92150…
10-26 21:18:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x565398…
10-26 18:20:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x88cc5f…
10-26 17:55:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9c1edd…
10-26 16:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8a83a3…
10-26 15:32:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef46ee…
10-26 15:32:14	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2879f4…
10-26 13:28:48	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xfc995d…
10-26 12:29:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x5fae4f…
10-26 08:16:05	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x1b0653…
10-26 06:43:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb2352e…
10-26 06:01:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x0e912c…
10-25 22:25:11	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6f7292…
10-25 22:25:09	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xaa79fd…
10-25 22:24:17	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xe4fa0e…
10-24 23:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4cc8e6…
10-24 23:52:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x5ab99e…
10-24 23:52:24	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xe02785…
10-24 23:51:53	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x25585f…
10-24 17:43:26	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb12286…
10-24 15:20:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xb42000…
10-24 13:48:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1c1063…
10-24 13:25:36	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x0cdc9c…
10-24 11:27:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x13d249…
10-24 09:44:15	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xf93b9c…
10-24 09:43:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xfa7d77…