Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
11.7%
Resolved
830
Trades
1,553
lifetime
Volume
$811
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 05-12 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
80% 12% +$7
Politics
12% 14% -$12
Sports
6% 8% -$40
Crypto
2% 0% -$14
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -12 -$2 80¢ $-10 -$8 05-11 16:06
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-10 10:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 10:46
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-10 10:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-10 10:46
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes -6 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 10:46
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-10 10:46