Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$222
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
869
lifetime
Volume
$364.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$419
Open exposure
$15.3K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91%
Politics
5% 100% +$8
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +6,233 $5,490 90¢ $5.6K +$88 07-16 12:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,100 $4,698 95¢ $4.8K +$150 06-12 19:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,905 $-2,725 96¢ $-2784 $-60 06-12 15:13
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1,035 $-932 90¢ $-937 $-5 07-20 14:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -1,000 $-920 92¢ $-920 +$0 07-22 02:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -219 $-206 72¢ $-158 +$49 07-21 16:14
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +89 $80 88¢ $79 $-1 07-21 11:47
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -46 $-42 88¢ $-40 +$2 07-14 14:02